rda2
Joined 2 years ago
Karma
51
Submissions
18
Member since
Mar 17
Recent submissions
Comment · 1 month ago
Comment · 3 months ago
Interesting, something about the phrasing and pacing felt like AI to me, but not a model I’m familiar with - I guess that’s why. Usually I close articles once I realize they’re AI written, but this one was mild enough that I finished the whole thing.
Comment · 7 months ago
I hope you post this again when you do - I was presented with the "0.00080" difference a couple times, and it looks like this is where it becomes actually impossible because of this issue.
Comment · 9 months ago
It’s cute, and I’m trusting enough to believe them when it says 100% home made, but square images with a strong yellow tint will forever be associated with ChatGPT 4o image generation in my mind.
Unfortunately, this might become something like the em-dash—where artists start tweaking their work to look less like the AI’s that are copying them.
Comment · 9 months ago
The gyro permission request doesn't work on iOS since it's not tied to user input.
If you're feeling brave, you can paste this into your phone's javascript console to add a button that requests permission.
var b=document.createElement('button'); b.textContent='Gyro'; b.style='position:fixed;z-index:999'; b.onclick=()=>{DeviceOrientationEvent.requestPermission();b.remove()}; document.body.appendChild(b);
Comment · 11 months ago
It’s different if you have influence over the network, like a government might. I spend a lot of time in China, and they’ve done a good job of blocking VPNs in recent years, including my personal WireGuard connection to my home network. Not that any technical solution is impossible to bypass, but a motivated state government could make VPN use difficult if it wasn’t for the whole Constitution thing.
Comment · 1 year ago
Pretty lacking in math for an article that mentions math a few times.
I looked into this a few years ago when I was trying to see if we were really in the worst housing market ever, and came to the opposite conclusion. https://arriens.us/articles/housing.html
Comment · 1 year ago
I used this method to check some of the lights in my house a few years ago.
The slow-mo video mode on my phone used a rolling shutter which captures one row of pixels at a time, meaning you could see the flicker in part of the video, even when it’s a multiple of 60 Hz or above 240 Hz. The flicker and camera frequencies also aren’t exactly synced up, so you can see the dimmed parts move across the screen.
You can get a pretty good idea of frequency, depth of flicker, and if the LED’s colors are flickering in sync from this, and I can confirm that Philips LEDs, specifically the EyeComfort series, are good.
Comment · 1 year ago
Ironically, it's a titles/links only aggregator. My way of browsing social media antisocially.
Comment · 1 year ago
I browse Hacker News through a custom aggregator. This post is how I found out it’s susceptible to HTML injection - a (2020) was marqueeing across my screen.
Comment · 1 year ago
For those who are interested in learning more:
"All failure is shear failure" - this is a simple explanation of Tresca's Yield Criterion. For materials with higher compressive than tensile strength, the equivalent is the Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion.
Comment · 1 year ago
Discussed at the time:
Loom EGA/VGA Comparison https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26445522 - March 2021 (77 comments)
Comment · 1 year ago
I mean, this just appears to be fixed nominal returns, minus a fee, multiplied by a factor from an actuarial table.
Contrast it with a calculator like this [0] that uses combines historical return and inflation data with actuarial data to show the variance of outcomes, not just average returns.
For instance, your calculator shows a scenario of investing in bitcoin and withdrawing >20% of your portfolio every year which makes zero sense once you account for variance of returns.
I like the idea of tontines, I'm glad someone is trying to bring them back, and I don't doubt that your product could help with longevity risk, but I haven't seen anything so far that actually shows that.
I'd like to see actual results from backtesting, or a prediction that takes risk into account, not just a fixed return.
Comment · 1 year ago
Those rates and risks are meaningless without a baseline, as Einstein and 28 other Nobel Prize Winners may agree.
If you're familiar with the early retirement community, the simplest strategy is withdrawing a fixed percentage of your initial retirement portfolio, adjusting for inflation every year. For an 100% equities portfolio, these are the odds of success over a 30 or 60 year horizon[0] when backtested against Shiller's total real return data from 1871-2018
4%/30 year: 97%
4%/60 year: 89%
3%/30 year: 100%
3%/60 year: 100%
Hence my comment about spending a little less or saving more - 4% to 3% makes a massive difference in success rates. I'm sure you've done some backtesting of your offerings, and hopefully would be able to share some withdrawal amount vs success rate comparison, even if it's not an identical time period/comparison.
[0]https://earlyretirementnow.com/2016/12/14/the-ultimate-guide...
https://www.effectgames.com/demos/worlds/