neogodless
Joined 13 years ago
Joined 13 years ago
Big Tech? Startup? Selling a service? Selling software tools? Something else?
Because (business) success usually involves a big recipe of good ideas, good execution, good networking/marketing/sales.
Proprietary code was once rare and valuable. But code is cheap to create, and plentiful. It might as well be flour, sugar, butter. Can anyone that ever worked at a bakery trivially create a successful rival bakery because of a few recipes and an EZBake Oven? Can a vibe-coded Adobe Creative Suite take down Adobe overnight? I'll believe it when I see it.
That's not to say that if you're an engineer, but you have a passion and confidence in your ideas and salesmanship that you shouldn't give it a try, if you're in a position to do so, or otherwise don't have better options. But thinking that software engineering is more of a factor in rapid business success than it used to be seems like an odd assumption.
Overall > 0.5 win rate each year: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/coaches/TomlMi0.htm
But after 2016, playoffs? Not so much.
I think the issue with this hypothesis is that it omits variables.
Basically... is the United States, scratch that, WILL the United States be on a trajectory, post-Trump, where there is reason to believe future leadership will consistently be trustworthy to foreign nations? And how would anyone know that, or at least have reasonable confidence in that belief?
What brought us here to elect someone like this, and is that "what" going away or being fixed? Is there some hope for undoing polarized politics in this country, so that "this election is the most important of our generation" doesn't occur every four years, and both sides believe that "the other side" will ruin the country once and for all?
Time is not enough to fix the core issues. Time can move us past this particular era, these particular instances of unpredictable leadership, but time alone will not move this country past whatever levers of control convinced this electorate that this kind of leadership was the right choice for this country -- and the rest of the planet.
Curious what you're using for comparison for "performs better." There are lots of 300-400+ HP EVs when you consider the cost of a RAV4 Prime ($41.5K-$50K USD)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49713635 GM unveils a new user interface experience for pickup trucks (gm.com)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49713328 GM gives its most important trucks a new UI–and includes CarPlay (arstechnica.com)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49713328 GM gives its most important trucks a new UI–and includes CarPlay (arstechnica.com)
https://www.thedrive.com/news/gm-finally-gave-up-the-fight-a... GM Finally Gave Up the Fight Against CarPlay and Android Auto
https://variety.com/2026/film/reviews/musk-review-elon-musk-...
Turns out, someone is about to release a similar, 4 hour long documentary about Elon Musk.