zkhalique
Joined 16 years ago
Joined 16 years ago
This especially doesn't work against multiple opponents.
"Doing X in PHP is a bad idea"
"Well it's only a bad idea if done by unskilled developers"
But about machine learning... a system can learn from a set of outcomes which are the result of a "biased" system, that is to say tainted with an incorrect Bayesian prior which is not properly corrected, such as let's say courts in a racist society or whatever. It would learn the same bias. Because its goal is to maximize compatibility with the outcomes that the humans did. So it perpetuates those weights.
The problem is that we don't know whether the human decisions matched the reality. "Did the person commit the crime" for example. We might have to wait until more unbiased estimators for such activity come along, and throw away old historical data.
It's sort of like when Black-Scholes became a self-fulfilling prophecy for valuing derivatives, but only after it became widespread. The market started using Black-Scholes to value derivatives, so it became the best model to predict the value of derivatives. But until then, other models might have fit the historical data better.
If people could rank their preferences then people like Bernie and Bloomberg would actually run without fear that they might "take away votes from Hillary" and therefore help Trump. In fact, the two-party syste would give way to something better. Only the party elites would NOT want this... but after this election, even they probably do.
[ my public key: https://keybase.io/zattack; my proof: https://keybase.io/zattack/sigs/ju1icv42KBBcbTu8e4RQoq4SvAJcs3TODCRCzfrL1Nw ]