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There are no clear details about what DOGE will alter. All the information we have so far amounts to outrage-bait one-liners. Where and how are they deciding to make cuts, and which agencies are they planning to change? Cutting is not intrinsically a good or bad idea, but everything I’ve read about this so far makes DOGE seem anti-intellectual.

> And then I tried gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct. This is a closed OpenAI model, so details are very murky.

How do you know it didn't just write a script that uses a chess engine and then execute the script? That IMO is the easiest explanation.

Also, I looked at the gpt-3.5-turbo-instruct example victory. One side played with 70% accuracy and the other was 77%. IMO that's not on par with 27XX ELO.

Kinda? Chess isn't solved. Complex problems can have better solutions discovered in the future.

Anyone have a technical writeup of the actual bug? I'm trying to explain how this could happen to people who think this is related to AI or cyber attacks.

What happened to the QA testing, staggered rollouts, feature flags, etc.? It's really this easy to cause a boot loop?

To me, BSOD indicates kernel level errors, which I assume Crowdstrike would be able to cause because it has root access due to being a security application. And because it's boot-looping, there's not a way to automatically push out updates?

Doesn’t make much sense for Hikaru to cheat. He competes over the board where it’s much harder to cheat, and he makes most of his money through streaming, not through competition results.

What about safety during accidents? It's better to be driving a heavier car in that case.

I would love if when buying an iPhone I was able to specify an entire class of apps that I could not install. For example, I could be banned at an OS level from a curated suite of social media apps. They could also make each app report the domains that it connects to so that the ban could continue at a DNS level. Apple is in a great place to do this because of their walled garden App Store model and withholding of root access from users. To undo it you would have to go into a store to use their proprietary software to change the type of apps you're allowed to install.

Don't we already have many answers? -- We just do nothing to address the problems.

Pragmatically, we need way more investment in environmental engineering and policies that put conservation first.

Since collectively we can't be bothered because we all need the newest electric vehicle, you can also accept that mass extinction is a byproduct of humanity.

Can someone explain why this is being downvoted?

> We document appearance effects in the economics profession. Using unique data on PhD graduates from ten of the top economics departments in the United States we test whether more attractive individuals are more likely to succeed. We find robust evidence that appearance has predictive power for job outcomes and research productivity. Attractive individuals are more likely to study at higher ranked PhD institutions and are more likely to be placed at higher-ranking academic institutions not only for their first job, but also for jobs as many as 15 years after their graduation, even when we control for the ranking of PhD institution and first job. Appearance also predicts the success of research output: while it does not predict the number of papers an individual writes, it predicts the number of citations for a given number of papers, again even when we control for the ranking of the PhD institution and first job. All these effects are robust, statistically significant, and substantial in magnitude.

The paper is paywalled, but that's the abstract.

I'm curious about how much of that is self-sabotage. I don't think we can rule out self-perception of attractiveness as a confounding variable. Internalized attractiveness? If anyone has a good study about that, I'd be very interested.

Thank you for commenting these in. I find this quote "That when allowed to be themselves, their psychological issues largely disappear." interesting and hopeful -- and the way it's phrased suggests some causation.

Is there a study that proves this? I did a brief literature scan and it seems to me that researchers are unclear about the causation direction of things like trauma, psychological disorders, and GID/gender dissatisfaction. I think this is a pretty important part of the ongoing debate.

I don't want to be the "citations needed" guy, but I do have a tremendous respect for science and I don't want to just have to go with my gut on something like this.