washedup

Joined 15 years ago

Karma
1,699
Submissions
584
Member since
Sep 21
background in economics, finance, trading, and data science.
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Recent submissions

Comment · 7 days ago
It's almost as if there are different groups that have different views and upvote different things.
Comment · 2 months ago
casio guy here, can confirm thanks for the laugh
Comment · 7 months ago
Been working on a paper that's my attempt to add a meaningful update to macroeconomic theory, specifically around the effects of high-entropy outputs (waste, heat, harmful byproducts) as diminishing GDP and general population health. Working on some studies backed up with data to support. If anyone here is interested in economic theory, I could use your feedback.
Comment · 7 months ago
"All of the severe incidents of this kind that we observed involved earlier versions of Claude Mythos Preview which, while still less prone to taking unwanted actions than Claude Opus 4.6, predated what turned out to be some of our most effective training interventions. These earlier versions were tested extensively internally and were shared with some external pilot users."
Comment · 8 months ago
I personally love Jane Street lore. I think there is a lot of value to this theory, but people saying BTC would be at $150,000 feels misguided, since there are a lot of complex stories developing across the global economy. A lot of the sell off since October is, not only due to these ETF mechanisms, but also a general liquidity crunch that also affected performance of traditional software companies as economic uncertainty grows. I am reading more about bitcoin as a "canary in coal mine" for global liquidity uncertainty, a lot of which is coming from the current US Admin around tariffs, data reporting methodologies, and other policies.

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