walkhour

What books in particular would you recommend?

The US military budget is 12% of the total.

> I want affordable housing. Affordable healthcare. High speed rail. Better zoning laws. New subway lines.

Are you saying we only need 12% of the budget to fix these things? Note that coincidentally medicare is already accounting for ~12% of the total.

Say the military budget goes to zero (which it can't), and we spend half of that on medicare (it would be 18%). Will it fix the problem?

I think the problem is much deeper than wasting this 12%.

This is just the beginning and we don't know what will happen. Some people will say creative destruction is happening and people will find other jobs. They may equate this to the horse drivers finding other jobs at the beginning of the XXth century.

The truth is we don't know. People that will lose their jobs may find other jobs or not. Maybe it's harder to reinvent oneself now. Maybe a lot of people will truly suffer because of AI.

I find very hard to know with certainty what will happen, who will remain unharmed, and who will struggle but make it through, but change is coming.

> Germany was especially vulnerable to the withdrawal of Russian natural gas supplies—the country used a disproportionate amount of natural gas for its heavy industry and gas-powered home heating systems, and in 2021, 55% of German natural gas consumption came from Russia

So much reliance on a potential enemy was a huge mistake. Germany should've foreseen that in the span of say 40 years it was likely there would be a major conflict with Russia.

All prediction markets were estimating at fairly high this possibility and the fact that Germany didn't realize this and course-corrected is surprising to say the least.

> found the digital keys to his crypto fortune hidden in a basement floor safe and a popcorn tin in the bathroom.

Apparently he didn't voluntarily give away he's secrets, they were found around his place.

> Quinney should be entitled to compensation from the state. It isn’t immediately clear what the final number will be but it will stretch into the hundreds of thousands of dollars or more.

Hundreds of thousands for eight years in jail, decades of angst, and a broken family ...

The fact that bureaucrats err on side of minimizing deaths caused by experiments is just a consequence of deaths being caused by experiments being unequivocally trivial to prove.

Meanwhile finding out the number of deaths caused by extra caution and delaying the experiment requires a calculation, and then a very lengthy blog post to be communicated.

Bureaucrats don't care about the second kind of deaths because they can hardly be linked to their actions. Now the first kind of deaths are directly their responsibility. And guess what, they can be avoided with a flick of a pen.

> No I don’t agree that heritability of IQ is well established

> Although IQ differences between individuals have been shown to have a large hereditary component ...

You have written both statements ...

Someone said a few posts ago housing can't be affordable and a good investment.

This is just madness, house prices are guaranteed to go up and affordability is likely to increase zero.

> Although IQ differences between individuals have been shown to have a large hereditary component, it does not follow that disparities in IQ between groups have a genetic basis

Sure, but this is not the claim I originally quoted. I was taking about heritability, and you're taking now about disparities between groups.

Nevertheless it seems you agree the heritability of IQ is well established, which you were denying originally.

Jobs may even be outsourced from the cities to cheaper areas in US. Not many countries allow firing at will, and apparently this is needed every ~10 years for 20% of the staff.

> Most psychologists today believe that the supposed heritability was observed because of bias within the research.

This is the crux of your comment and its a huge statement. Do you have evidence supporting this claim?