timeisapear
Joined 12 years ago
Karma
44
Submissions
30
Member since
Oct 15
Recent submissions
Comment · 3 days ago
Another highly upvoted article shadow-banned off HN’s front page. Ridiculous!
Comment · 2 months ago
https://ballcast.app
Hosting an XGBoost-model for MLB totals predictions. It runs every thirty minutes: incorporating weather at the hyperlocal level and joins with player attributes that are provably affected by that weather. It also provides advanced decision-making tools with a Kelly Criterion calculator built in. Model still needs some calibration for bet-sizing but is very close to production-ready.
Robust historical evaluations available at https://ballcast.app/validation
Comment · 2 months ago
Comment · 2 months ago
Yes. AIFS directly by ECMWF and AIGEFS by NOAA. Every vibecoded weather app these days has them. Google those terms you’ll find them.
Comment · 2 months ago
Isn’t this parent comment generated by AI?
Comment · 5 months ago
You sound like a candidate for asylum? Despite the administration policy, asylum law is still on the books. Might be good to get an application in and cross your fingers for a subsequently more friendly admin.
Comment · 5 months ago
I don’t know about being more tired than the model, but when I’ve had a particularly productive session, I feel more tired (brain fog) than during a coding session. Probably because I’ve replaced brainless typing with the cognitive load of decision-making and weighing plan approaches.
Comment · 5 months ago
I think we need an official HN response. This is a legitimate video game, which happens to be satire. If we as a community cannot handle this, I don't know if I want to be a part of it anymore, even though I've been here since 2014.
Comment · 5 months ago
Play it here: https://epicfurious.com
Comment · 9 months ago
Is MapLibre GL a cheaper (free?) open source alternative?
Cool stuff btw. I’m trying to visualize weather model data myself (millions of points) at https://futureradar.net and have been researching client-side techniques like yours.
Comment · 2 years ago
This was a favorite when I was growing up: "The Value of Believing in Yourself: The Story of Louis Pasteur"
https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/196827.The_Value_of_Beli...
Comment · 4 years ago
TLDR: We knew micrometeorites would happen, just not one this big so soon. We've corrected four small ones already. We barely got away with correcting this one, because luckily there is a large performance margin built into the image gathering pipeline. We're studying how many more big whoopsies might occur and what effect that might have on the telescope's future.
I wonder if having an impact that was larger than modeled so early on in JWST's mission is a foreboding sign for its lifespan.
Comment · 6 years ago
No, but he is an intelligent person who leads a billion-dollar organization that is, among other things, on the verge of eradicating the historical scourge of polio.
https://www.gatesfoundation.org/theoptimist/articles/Health-...
Comment · 7 years ago
I'm not sure I buy the risk/market trade-off. You could replace Boeing with any car manufacturer that still has publicly traded shareholder needs.