theli0nheart
Joined 17 years ago
Joined 17 years ago
Like I suggested earlier in this thread: please engage with my points if you have a well-reasoned critique, which, as it seems, you do not.
Now, your turn: how is the startup I'm building relevant to the conversation?
Percent range | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | Longer run
| March June | March June | March June | March June
--------------+------------+------------+------------+-----------
2.13-2.37 | | | |
2.38-2.62 | | 1 | |
2.63-2.87 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2
2.88-3.12 | 2 | 3 1 | 3 1 | 7 9
3.13-3.37 | 2 | 6 4 | 7 6 | 4 3
3.38-3.62 | 7 1 | 4 3 | 3 2 | 3 3
3.63-3.87 | 7 8 | 3 2 | 3 5 | 2 2
3.88-4.12 | 3 | 1 5 | 1 3 | 1 1
4.13-4.37 | 5 | 2 | |
4.38-4.62 | 1 | 1 | |
[1]: "Figure 3.E. Distribution of participants' judgments of the midpoint of the appropriate target range for the federal funds rate or the appropriate target level for the federal funds rate, 2026–28 and over the longer run"https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcprojtabl20...
I sat with this for a bit, and I was going to ignore this, but my wife's honor is on the line, so I just can't.
Frankly, whatever attempt at ad hominem here is uncalled for, and not befitting for HN.
My wife built a product over two years ago and hit a massive need after over a year of crawling over broken glass. I had recently left my previous startup and was going to take a break. But she needed my help. There was one week where ChatGPT's custom GPTs had terrible uptime, so she asked me to built an actual web app. And that's how I was recruited.
I was skeptical at first, given I don't believe in astrology, but I believe in the results. Not a week goes by that a user doesn't reach out to us to let us know that Star Path has had a massively positive impact on their life. Star Path has saved marriages, helped users gain the confidence to start the career they've always wanted, and more.
I also studied applied math and economics at Yale (where I met my wife, actually!), and have been investing and building software for 20 years, as both a founder and engineer.
Anyways, I'd love to keep the conversation and debate focused on the points I made, and not whatever preconceptions you might have re: astrology. Thanks.
I reinvested all proceeds into long-term zero coupon U.S. treasuries.
1. Much of those profits have to be immediately reinvested into model training runs to avoid being lapped by competitions.
2. Unit costs are irrelevant when the labs don't price per unit, and instead charge, for instance, $200 / month for $10k worth of tokens.
This isn't a steady state. Whatever the current situation is, I doubt it's sustainable.