Recent submissions

Comment · 7 years ago
When the author writes:

"Even if face recognition can match a face with 99% accuracy, the sheer amount of faces available in police databases makes false positives inevitable. (The 1% error rate means that, if 10,000 people who are not wanted by the police undergo face recognition, 100 will be flagged as wanted)."

The author is not being fair.

Usually with technologies like these, developers will not aim for an accuracy of 99%, but a precision of 99% (that is what we do with Congestion Charging in London, where the ramifications of FPs are much lower [I work in Transport for London]). That means that for 10,000,000 people undergoing facial recognition, only 100 may be flagged as wanted, and only 1 will be a false positive. If we were talking about 99% accuracy, that doesn't necessarily mean what the author claims either. Accuracy is (TP + TN)/(P + N), meaning that the decrease in 1% from 100% can be in any of:- a lowering of TP or TN; or an increase of FP or FN. There is no reason to think that the 1% will all mean false positives.

Comment · 7 years ago
Government? Most of these camera owners weren't government.
Comment · 7 years ago
AIS devices are mandatory for all ships of 300tonnes+, meaning the data is open and can be monitored by anyone!
Comment · 7 years ago
You aren't addressing the arguments at all here. With the error bars that black6 suggests, we cannot possibly infer anything of meaning over long periods of time.
Comment · 7 years ago
This answer is more flippant than you can imagine.

#3 Is the worst - if we have learnt anything in the past century, it is that our attempts at behavioural changes rarely work[i], and even when they do they often result in the opposite effect[ii].

[i] - My favourite book that points this out is Behavioural Adaptation and Road Safety. Well worth a read. Examples are many, such as in the case of criminalising texting while driving, which results in "crotching" (texting from a phone on your lap) and has resulted in increased accidents.

[ii] - Plenty of examples of this already on the environmental scene:

    - let's use plastic bags to save trees! oh no plastic bags are worse!

    - let's use diesel rather than petrol! Here, have subsidies! Oh no, it's making everything worse

    - let's improve energy efficiency! oh no, now more energy is used! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox
Comment · 7 years ago
If the ground is sinking rather than the sea rising, the impact will be pretty similar!
Comment · 7 years ago
That is very interesting! how do they know that a difference in a satellite measurement is not due to slippage in its orbit?
Comment · 7 years ago
What sort of collaborators are you looking for? What data + assets do you have to work with?
Comment · 7 years ago
Great ideas - you should build a start-up!
Comment · 7 years ago
Well done, keep it going!
Comment · 7 years ago
Which is caused by?
Comment · 7 years ago
Do we have evidence as to what is causing the insane rise in OD deaths?
Comment · 7 years ago
> Belief in God is at odds with a scientific view of the world

No, it's not.

> it's hard to be patriotic when every country has so many skeletons in the closet you'd think it's perpetually Halloween

When did nations not have skeletons in their closets?

Comment · 7 years ago
Without defining what "Progress" and "Good" are, the whole concept that there is some sort of "Progress" is meaningless. If you can define those terms, you can maybe start to study such a topic - but the definition of such terms belongs to philosophy, not science. Technological advancement could certainly studied, but what we do or don't do with it can only be "Good" or "Progressing" to some idealistic goal if we have identified those.
Comment · 7 years ago
if the distances between circles approaching another circle is more-or-less the width of the ball, the other balls will not affect it much.

+ The additional perturbations make the situation more random, rather than entirely based on the inconsistencies of the board design.

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