spelk
Joined 1 year ago
Joined 1 year ago
The bar for what counts as expertise is shifting. If someone with relatively little background can use an LLM to get to a reasonably informed answer much faster than before, then experience and credentials alone carry a bit less signalling power than they used to. That obviously doesn't mean the inexperienced person suddenly has the judgement, context or intuition of an actual expert, but I do think some of the hostility toward AI comes from discomfort with that change.
AI is still wrong, goes in weird circular loops, and doesn't solve the fundamental human problems around judgement, organization, learning curves, accountability, etc. But it does seem to be raising the baseline expectation for what a competent knowledge worker should produce, and I feel that shift is genuinely uncomfortable for a lot of people who based their identities around being rigorous abstract problem solvers.
Introductory pricing until December 2026 implies no significant Gemini Flash developments until the next year.
I ended up taking just one that way. The policy was really designed for the breadth year because in upper years, you had much less room for electives, but you could try a difficult or unfamiliar subject without worrying too much about your GPA. If you discovered you liked it enough to switch into that major, the course would then be converted to a regular graded course.
I think allowing 3-4 Pass/Fail courses in the first year strikes a good balance. It gives students room to challenge themselves and explore unfamiliar subjects, while still preserving grades as a useful signal of whether they're prepared for college-level work.
Because I don’t think “the subsidization train is going to end” necessarily means current pricing becomes impossible.
If capital keeps pouring into frontier AI, companies still have an incentive to subsidize access while competing for users and market share. And if that subsidization starts drying up, there’s even more incentive to bring inference costs down by making smaller and cheaper models catch up to today’s frontier capabilities.
So either way, I’m not sure you can extrapolate from the cost of serving current frontier models to what equivalent capability will cost two years from now.
Obvious caveat being that Claude Code might give you a confident statistic without being able to validate if the question can be validated with the sample (StatsCan suppresses C grade data and below).
Substack thrives because it's built a reputation for having well-reasoned or engaging voices in a newsletter format. They pushed a big campaign to onboard writers like Bill Bishop (Sinocism) onto the platform early on. Because of that, newer writers are likely seeking to tap into the network effects/discovery systems that comes with having big names on the platform.
People log onto Instagram, Tik Tok, X, etc. because the people they're interested are already on the platform, and the platform provides a recommendation system that allows newer "creators" to tap into an existing audience for others in their niche.