shash42
Joined 6 years ago
Joined 6 years ago
In pointing models at scientific discovery, we will have to achieve the capabilities today's LLMs lack: - long-horizon palnning - continual adaptation - reasoning about uncertainty - information-efficient learning - and creative exploration.
Some of these capabilities may emerge from large-scale training. Others will will require changes in how we implement and train AI systems. I don't yet know how exactly such a training loop would look. So consider this post a conjecture.
But science offers a few unique properties at its foundation: - large open data - verifiability - truth-seeking (instead of power-seeking) incentives.
And thus I think scientific discovery is the ideal successor to internet-scale pretraining. It's not just an application, it maybe the means to building what we're missing. Maybe that's why we have @openai @GoogleDeepMind @periodiclabs @futurehouse etc. all focusing on it.
New paper shows how to convert inference-time compute into high quality supervision for RL training.
Up to 30% rel. improvement on a realistic non-verifiable tasks (HealthBench), with the models own self-synthesised rubrics!
We only talk about how "intelligent" the models are, what jobs they might automate, the trillions being invested, who will "win" the AI race, and the safety risks. All these things naturally worry people, and make them averse to AI. I think we're missing the point.
The goal of technology should be to improve people's lives. AGI, ASI, RSI are all just in-group goals, that aren't obviously beneficial on their own. Speculative promises shouldn't be all we have to offer. Imagine releasing a new model and saying "it will score 99% on these benchmarks one day" instead of reporting what it already does today.
I've spent the last few weekends reading about AI systems, both generative and predictive, that are already making a large positive impact on the world. It gives me hope, and I made this page so it does the same for others.
Ultimately, the final, and only evaluation for AI that matters is whether it improved lives. The models are already so good, and yet the world is not that different. I think it's important to change that, and this is my attempt to paint the target.
There's no way the list is complete, so if you think an AI system has had a large positive impact, do share it through the submit page!