seanharper
Joined 17 years ago
Joined 17 years ago
In order to enjoy living in places where nature exact a larger toll - near the ocean, on a mountain that gets dry and doesn't have a fire station nearby - homeowners will need to invest in hardening their homes, invest in buying more expensive insurance and will need to make sure they have the financial buffer to rebuild if their home is damaged by the weather.
As the ocean rises, we will need to move more inland.
The issue with Citizens is that it does create a lot of financial risk for the state, especially since it doesn't buy as much reinsurance as a private company would.
So you would have a situation where a roof needed to be replaced, should cost $30k. A roofer comes up with an estimate for $60k (and maybe pays the homeowner back a $10k kicker), gets the homeowner to sign over the insurance policy to him. Then he hires a lawyer who spends $50k of his time litigating the case. Let's say the court sides in favor of the insurer and awards $30k, the lawyer still gets $150k (3x multiplier on the $50k of fees).
As a result you had Florida accounting for 8% of the homeowners insurance claims nationally and 75% of the lawsuits nationally. There are billboards for insurance attorneys EVERYWHERE in florida.
The phenomenon impacted big national companies like State Farm that have similar claims handling procedures across their book. So State Farm would handle claims exactly the same in Florida as in Illinois and get sued 10x more often in Florida because of the financial incentive to sue. It also impacts Florida's state-owned insurer, which does compete very vigorously in the market and is the largest insurer in the state.
David Altmaier, the former Commissioner of Insurance in Florida, wrote a good piece on that situation - https://floir.com/siteDocuments/ChairIngoglia04022021.pdf
Fortunately Florida took a really good stab at fixing the problem with some legislation passed last December. It will take a while to see if the legislation worked, however. Meanwhile we still have the macro factors (climate change, reinsurance costs) to contend with. https://bestsreview.ambest.com/edition/2023/february/Florida...
https://www.iii.org/fact-statistic/facts-statistics-homeowne...
Houses are more expensive in CA, building costs are more expensive in CA and the weather is more volatile (and becoming increasingly so) in CA.
The rate level in CA needs to increase. The regulator in CA makes it difficult to raise rates, so companies are responding by reducing their appetite.
One of the hardest things about insurance is figuring out the probabilities of very unlikely events. Hurricane Andrew was a moderately large storm that directly hit three major population centers - Miami, Ft. Myers and New Orleans. That circumstance is infrequent enough that modeling it statistically leaves a wide range of uncertainty.
I would think about insurance as more of a smoothing mechanism of inherently uncertain outcomes. When something happens that's unexpected and causes a larger loss, that is typically recouped by the industry over a few years of higher rates. That way the industry is still absorbing volatility, which is valuable to their customers, but doesn't require that they be 100% correct about the probabilities of infrequent events.
I don't think it's really a bad thing for a company like Farmers to cut costs. Insurance companies are by and large pretty bloated from a cost perspective and could do to be more efficient, reduce overhead, use more technology.
It's very common for homeowners insurance companies to have expense ratios of 30-40%. So if you are paying $3000 per year thats ~$1000 EVERY YEAR that is being wasted on branches/agencies you don't visit and corporate overhead.
There are some expensive neighborhoods but also many cheap ones that are super fun if you are young and don't have kids or care about school quality.
Public transport here is ok - very extensive systems but some lines are pretty slow. Culturally we have everything you would expect of a very large city - great restaurants, museums, music, etc.
That they are not allowing this for credit cards indicates that they are using the pin debit networks.
Historically Wisconsin has been a pretty progressive state, similar to its neighbors Illinois, Iowa and Minnesota.
Milwaukee, like most big midwest cities, is highly segregated with some pretty frightening ghettos and areas of poverty, although not as bad as cities whose economies have done worse like Detroit, Cleveland, etc.
Our focus has certainly been more on Samurai, especially since the acquisition, but the original site feefighters.com worked fine for many people last week.