schimmy_changa
Joined 13 years ago
Joined 13 years ago
Looks like this might be another victim of the current administration's fun with databases (although I admit that's speculation).
Imagine the nightmare of what happens when a driver grabs the wrong bus and is several miles along their route before they notice. Do they return to the school? Do they get as many kids as they can before they run out of charge while a dispatcher furiously tries to coordinate a place within range but still further along the route to send a whole new bus to switch the kids onto? What happens when the driver who's bus got taken drives off in ANOTHER driver's bus, perhaps with the same results cascading onwards?
Currently you have to balance drivers, bus capacity, and bus breakdowns/availability, but you don't have to manage bus charge because the gas range is large enough and the driver can quickly top up if needed. Adding another dimension of complexity into it likely isn't worth it compared to the cost of having a somewhat larger battery.
(the bug is that text replacement does not work in FF on mac, something that saves me so much time daily)
One reason I'm not super surprised they didn't implement publishing is that it seems like there's an inherent complexity to information passing in two-way systems. See as an example the difficulty in a grid with distributed renewables or how long websockets took to come along. Consider even an economy: you bring simply money to the store, not goods that you've created to barter, because of the complexity in figuring out the value of the offered goods, the cost of the negotiation, and potential mismatches in needs.
Maybe, just like with the electrical grid, we can start to get more creative now that the costs of 'the usual way' are more well-known and can start being internalized instead of externalized - this is the case with air pollution and carbon for our electrical grid, for instance, which is helping to drive distributed generation.
The main example here is the cost of solar and wind - in his earlier books he assumes that the transition to renewables must go slower than it has, simply because solar and wind couldn't possibly be cost competitive with fossil fuels. (Yes, it's not cheaper in many circumstances, but I'm talking about cost-competitive against coal unsubsidized, for instance, something he would not have predicted would happen in the mid 2010s)
He's a fantastic historian of energy, but falls into one of Clarke's laws: _When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong_
Yes, the energy transition is very hard and will take longer than many boosters want, and the history suggests this, but he also doesn't realize that history can also be changed by _learning from_ that history.
... so far. But with any technology it seems that, once the attention goes towards something, money and polish and 'Moloch' take over and the magic of amateurs and the joy of discovery are lessened. Perhaps TikTok will be different, however! It's not inevitable, but just a trend I've noticed.
I was on a cargo ship in the pacific which diverted into the Bering Sea to avoid some weather instead of skirting just south of the Aleutian Islands as planned. The captain gots orders via satellite from a land crew that's crunching the numbers of risk vs extra fuel costs at all times for the fleet. The first mate was frustrated by how this all works. He said (English not being his first language): "This is terrible! We never get to decide anything for ourselves. We are like Muppets!". I think he meant "puppets"...
The modern internet came from folks getting connected over-exuberantly based on near-term returns (with a lot of investors losing their shirts) but then humans figured out what the actual best use of the technology.
Highly recommend this book for more, Carlota Perez is very insightful: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_Revolutions_and_...