scanr

* in sheep

Call me when they complete the human trials

This could be bad for supply chain attacks. Basically the xz hack.

Step 1. Helpful person starts committing useful PRs and offers to help out until they get commit rights. I don’t think this is hard to achieve generally.

Step 2. Organised campaign of grumpy users complaining about how poorly the software is being maintained along with a bunch of pile-ons.

Step 3. Benign committer decides it’s all too much and quits. The general feeling that open source committers are undervalued makes this more likely.

Step 4. Supply chain attack by new evil committer.

It’s about externalities.

The private companies aren’t paying for the damage they are causing. It’s ultimately borne by the public.

Very similar to a factory that poisons a river if there’s no disincentive not to.

Better would be if we could factor in the cost to the environment into their revenue. This would better align incentives.

London seems to manage this petty well. I think it’s quite healthy for a city to commingle folk from different income groups rather than house them in specific areas.

I’m surprised that this “talent hoarding” approach happens. I’d love to hear from someone who works at a company that does it.

My experience in tech has been that to hire a good employee is expensive. Consuming time from recruiters, HR and hiring managers.

Companies that I’ve worked at that don’t currently require people often lay off the recruiters and HR folk as they scale down hiring.

Looks like there are a few of these threads sadly. Dang is there a way to make a definitive one?

Here are mine:

* Apple rumoured to be working on sunglasses similar to Meta Ray-bans

* Regulation is passed specifically to limit what artificial partners can do. Possible limitations: alignment required, limits in ERP, limits on session time. Best bet is China.

* Stronger regulation is passed to limit unauthorised cloning of people’s voices in one of the major economies. This beyond current weak IP and privacy laws.

* AI becomes a scapegoat in several major elections.

What I got right last year:

- text and image generating AI is hugely disruptive to education and content generation

This was pretty obvious

- Inflation eases, stock market recovers

Less obvious at the time but still likely

- A Twitter alternative breaks through.

Who woulda thunk that it would be Meta with Threads

- One of the big tech companies joins the fediverse (Microsoft most likely)

Once again, Meta for the win with Threads joining the fediverse

Now, nobody look back at all the predictions I made that didn’t happen.

Also, fairly gutted that Reddit hobbling its API was my 2022 prediction. I’m clearly prognosticating too far into the future.

* Apple rumoured to be working on sunglasses similar to Meta Ray-bans

* Regulation is passed specifically to limit what artificial partners can do. Possible limitations: alignment required, limits in ERP, limits on session time. Best bet is China.

* Stronger regulation is passed to limit unauthorised cloning of people’s voices in one of the major economies. This beyond current weak IP and privacy laws.

* AI becomes a scapegoat in several major elections.

What I got right last year:

- text and image generating AI is hugely disruptive to education and content generation

This was pretty obvious

- Inflation eases, stock market recovers

Less obvious at the time but still likely

- A Twitter alternative breaks through.

Who woulda thunk that it would be Meta with Threads

- One of the big tech companies joins the fediverse (Microsoft most likely)

Once again, Meta for the win with Threads joining the fediverse

Now, nobody look back at all the predictions I made that didn’t happen.

Also, fairly gutted that Reddit hobbling its API was my 2022 prediction. I’m clearly prognosticating too far into the future.

Restarting a service every night to deal with memory leaks comes up quite often

Just found the thread pretty interesting as it combines global politics, trade, military interventions, supply chain logistics and hard computer problems in one.