pyeri
Joined 3 years ago
Joined 3 years ago
Having said that, there is nothing to make the bronze age epoch impossible. There is nothing in the epic which may not have been possible in the bronze age based on what we already know about history.
=> 80% of engineering problems == budget models like gpt-mini can handle.
=> 15% of complex reasoning, vibe coding == frontier models like Opus, still sustainable.
=> 5% of 'really complex enterprise grade reasoning' == need massive tokens, impossible at scale unless pockets are deep.
Before LLMs came, there used to be the technical debt to deal with in a project, now there is also the added cognitive debt which is way more subtle and impactful long-term. If your source of truth isn't source code but a prompt (or even a series of prompts with branches) and the executor of prompts is a non-deterministic agent, I think you've already lost the battle there.
Computers and LLMs are great at automation of low-level human cognitive tasks like memory, decisions and loops, etc. but struggle enormously with high cognitive tasks like reasoning, deep logic, nuance, etc. Not that it can't be done (Claude platform is proof that it can) - but the cost and scaling advantage in this realm belongs to the human brain, not the LLM.