pcmonk
Joined 13 years ago
Joined 13 years ago
- the dollar is falling compared to US living expenses (US inflation)
- the euro is falling compared to the dollar (exchange rate)
- therefore, the euro is falling faster compared to US living expenses
- but the euro is not necessarily falling faster compared to EU living expenses (EU inflation)
Indeed, EU inflation and US inflation seem to be about the same, which means that the exchange rate change is not because one or the other is experiencing more inflation.
If you had $320mm USD and needed ETH, you'd want to use an OTC desk, because the markets will feel it, even though they won't actually run out of depth. Right now the "+2% depth" (https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/ethereum/markets/) on Coinbase, Binance, and FTX is about 5mm, and there's probably a dozen other markets with similar depth, though you'd want to execute the trades simultaneously. Decentralized exchanges have depth too; uniswap's USDC/ETH pool would let you buy $40mm for 2% slippage. All in all, you could probably get it all at about a 5% premium if you were really prepared for it.
Obviously you can scale up your security according to the value of your account and your threat model.
Engineer working on Urbit
phil at pcmonk.me
[ my public key: https://keybase.io/pcmonk; my proof: https://keybase.io/pcmonk/sigs/tet7bohLuwyz-BYeBElYMeFlsAYxpfAv-FLVf5l4UZg ]