Recent submissions

Comment · 5 months ago
There's no "getting elections right"; these models just estimate probability. They gave Trump a 29% change in 2016 -- that's almost 1 in 3!

A better way to assess accuracy would be to bin predictions (0-10% chance, 10-20% chance, etc.) and see if the observed frequency aligns with the predictions.

Comment · 5 months ago
How can we jump to that conclusion? Maybe they were only willing to interfere in that process in extreme cases.
Comment · 5 months ago
Many things are the truth, so it's really a question of framing. Another truth: humans have done reversible and irreversible damage to their natural environment; they can collectively reverse some of the damage and prevent further reversible and irreversible damage.

To focus on only irreversible damage -- especially as David Attenborough, somebody who over the better half of a century has earned massive respect and trust from people all over the world -- would be wildly irresponsible.

Comment · 5 months ago
Why shouldn't infinite growth be possible?
Comment · 5 months ago
You want to the documentary to end with David Attenborough saying that it is too late to revert the destruction of natural habitat?
Comment · 6 months ago
Arguably, it devalues this list of books because it calls into question its credibility and its author's seriousness.
Comment · 6 months ago
Kettle? Cattle?
Comment · 9 months ago
> Why is that? It's a fair question.

I think most of those students would answer that they are protesting the US government's complicity in this particular injustice -- which doesn't apply to the other injustices you list. I have a hard time imagining that most people asking this fair question can't think of that obvious answer.

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