neoburkian
Joined 8 years ago
Joined 8 years ago
As a rule, when people try to remove inequality everybody gets poorer, not richer. Countries are more successful at reducing poverty when they focus on lifting all boats. India and China were communist countries in the mid 20th century. As a result of them abandoning that approach, we have seen the greatest poverty reduction in human history. Check the GINI coefficients of those countries, it isn't great. Ask Chinese/Indian citizens if they are wealthier now than 60 years ago and its not even a question.
Submitting a fake paper to a journal read by a few dozen academics is a threat to someones ego. It is not in the same ballpark as a threat to IT infrastructure everywhere.
Resumes or similar self-marketing says a lot less than we would like. If there were good signals here, hiring would be a solved problem.
Another thing not mentioned here is that employee productivity is a variable that is almost always invisible before the hire happens. Leonardo DiCaprio can command a premium because he is identified with the work he does. This is not the case for tech workers who's work is typically invisible. Suppose you are a 10x DevOps sorcerer. None of your potential employers will know that in advance, so they are all only willing to pay 1x salaries.
FAANG companies pay higher across the board, not because they want to, but in the hope that by overpaying 90% of their employees (relative to market) they will be able to attract top 10% candidates whose skills are hidden until after the hire happens. If they could price discriminate in advance they would.
If the situation is not novel, then this step is only useful for documentation. If this is uncharted territory, any spec with this level of specificity will be thrown out in seconds.
A model that does not incorporate all the relevant information will have more false positives. The practical consequence of doing what you suggest is, cetaris-paribus, that you will incorrectly penalize more people.
> There might be a correlation in aggregate data but in any individual case we can only look at the relevant facts.
Definitely. Thats where courts and human review come in. The mistake the Dutch made here was not the variables in the model, but that they had limited human review of a model with (I'm assuming) low predictive power.
> Our justice system is supposed to be “innocent until proven guilty”, not “innocent until Bayesian inference suggests high enough probability.”
"Guilty beyond a reasonable doubt" (or whatever the Dutch equivalent is) implies exactly the Bayesian calculation you are rejecting. That said, I agree that a machine learning model with limited inputs is not sufficient to determine guilt.
We would deploy enormous resources to protect something if IT believed that had a legal requirement to do so (and make a lot of noise about how "secure" we were), but we would leave treasure chests of information sitting around in the open if there wasn't a box they needed to check saying "don't leave unattended treasure chests of private data in the open."
If anything this convinced me that the regulations surrounding this sort of thing are a joke. We don't need rules about security or how to build X - IT will just see a list of boxes, check them, and then ignore everything not specifically enumerated. We need a white hat law for certifying hacking teams that can legally try to crack corporations with sensitive data. If they succeed, the company has to pay enormous fines _to the team that hacked them_ and solve the problem or get their certifications/contracts revoked.
“Growth is only good if widely shared” is a meme that has led to immiseration every time it is implemented. If capitalism has to own child labor, then redistributionists have to own the violent mass scale enslavement of the peasants under Mao/Stalin.
The problem isn't lack of knowledge or skill, it is that management refuses to commit the resources necessary to build secure products. When the difference between building secure X and not-secure X is often 2-3 times the effort and time commitment, managers will almost always pick not-secure X and roll the dice on nothing going wrong.
From their point of view, adding security does nothing for the product. The customers are paying for the value-prop and marginal improvements on it, not the integrity of the backend.
If you want to solve the problem of lax security, you need to make security breaches a buisness-ending proposition. You also need to increase the likelyhood of being compromised so that people aren't tempted to roll the dice. If you want regulation, I would support some kind of white hat law that says if you compromise sensitive company data, the corporation has to (1) pay an amazon-bankrupting amount of money and (2) they have to give 20% of it to the team that broke them.
Aside from the transistor, negative feedback, Unix, troff, radio astronomy, the charge coupled device, cryptography, information theory, what did Bell Labs ever do for us? [1]
By the standard you set forward, we would have shut down Bell Labs BECAUSE it started to create these unquantifiably valuable inventions.
Google makes absurd amounts of money by search. Is it unethical to create an amazing search engine? Would it be better if Google said: "We aren't going to put money into moonshots, cancer research, laying fiber in Kansas, internet broadcasting balloons, AI research etc. We are going to take all of the money and pay it back to shareholders."?
I believe that your proposal, if put into practice, would amount to "we should destroy products that are successful". What am I missing?
The real myth is that "everyone has the capacity for success," and people who don't have success are "kept down by the system." These are feel good stories. If the only thing keeping everyone from eudaimonia is a broken system, then we fix the system and, presto, everything is great.
The hard pill to swallow is that differential life outcomes stem largely from differential capacities.
https://www.amazon.com/Blank-Slate-Modern-Denial-Nature/dp/0...
Can you explain to me how exactly this is "soft core phone sex"? Am I unconsciously gay for fish-men?
What you are talking about does happen, but I think you are painting with waay too broad a brush.
Big Tech companies are not a real estate business. To believe that they are indicates extreme confusion about what a company like Netflix does. To shoehorn them into culpability for rent seeking in the housing market is to substantially miss the point.