ncallaway

Joined 14 years ago

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2,530
Member since
Aug 16
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Recent submissions

Comment · 11 days ago
Isn't a user-selectable filter very different from a ban?
Comment · 15 days ago
Sure, and I don't think anyone would accuse Texas of being a "vision 0" champion. I wasn't advocating for this as a method of setting speed limits, I was just explaining why this method doesn't lead to a runaway speed increases over time.
Comment · 17 days ago
The amount that people go over the speed limit varies depending on the road conditions, what they think is safe, and what the speed limit is.

So, if a road feels "safe" at 60mph to people, and you put the speed limit as 20 the average traffic might be 40mph. If you put the speed limit as 40mph, it might go up to 55mph. If you put the speed limit as 60mph, it might go up to 65 mph.

But that natural tapering is what lets you find a stable value for a specific percentile threshold.

Comment · 1 month ago
> But for the US, there's no question like that. It produces a lot lot more than it consumes anyway. There can't be a shortage.

It's a global commodity. The reason there likely won't be a shortage in the U.S. has little to do with our production volumes, and has more to do with the fact that we're rich enough to be able to afford the higher prices when many other countries will have to forgeo using oil.

But if we weren't a rich country and we couldn't afford to pay a higher price for oil than many other nations on earth, we would produce and export oil to people that can pay more.

Ireland during the famine produced enough food to feed every person. But much of it was exported to other places, that could afford to pay a higher dollar amount to survive.

Comment · 1 month ago
Yea, I'm in this boat. My 13 mini has been dropped a couple of times. The screen is still functional, but it's on its last legs.

I spent a few hours researching the other night on what replacement phone I'd buy, and.... the answer was a refurbished 13 mini.

Comment · 1 month ago
> I really tend to dislike when people outside e.g. the EU comment on our politics

We, uh… started a war that we’re trying to drag many European countries into, and we spent a good chunk of the last year threatening to invade a member of the EU. We’re on and off about trying to start a trade war with the EU.

At this point, you have absolutely every right to comment on our politics, pretty much however you want.

Comment · 1 month ago
The concept of having a limit doesn't seem too crazy to me, but yea, 5 hours is just so restrictive.

Like, if it doesn't have aggressive idle-detection, I'd eat my entire 5-hours on a pause menu while dealing with an upset-baby.

5-hours/month just seems like it would be totally useless for someone with frequent interruptions.

Comment · 2 months ago
Ah, and if that person has split their post into several messages, I can definitely read all of them from a direct link to the first message, right?

If I have a link to a local emergency department twitter handle, I can view all of their recent posts, right?

Comment · 2 months ago
I think the only thing I’d add is some kind of open and standard syndication system like RSS
Comment · 2 months ago
I mean, I think a small website/blog with an RSS feed would be fine. If they really want it in social media format they could host an at proto PDS.
Comment · 2 months ago
The context of the thread is public institutions.

I promise you, most public institutions are capable of hosting a web site or running a bluesky account

Comment · 2 months ago
Yes, "quickly" is obviously industry-dependent. If they were fabricating something extremely easy to manufacture, "quickly" might mean months-to-a-year. Fabricating something very complicated like memory "quickly" might mean years.

That said, even though we might have to wait years for new supply to hit there market, we probably don't have to wait years to see signals of that. We will likely know that manufacturers are starting to build new supply long before we see the chips hit the market.

Comment · 2 months ago
> There was no way for them to serve the AI demand without reducing supply given to everyone else in the short run

I didn't say that there was a way to do it in the short run. I laid out what the test is to determine if there's cartel-like behavior or competitive-market-like behavior.

I will say, in a market with only 3 players and very high cap-ex cost, my prior is that you're likely to see more cartel-like behavior than competitive-market-like behavior, but that's still to be determined.

Comment · 2 months ago
I didn't say the build out time was months.

I said:

> the test isn't "how much is price going up" it's "how aggressively are the RAM producers expanding supply production"

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