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Comment · 3 years ago
Comment · 3 years ago
> So if it’s inevitable, what are the possible positive effects?

I cannot see any positive effects. We should try to prevent the inevitable, while there's still some time. Not long. But some.

> Should we start looking at transitioning to the changes

I’m starting to think we're likely to face a future akin to that depicted in Threads (1984) or The Road (2009), and I’m not sure anyone can truly prepare for it.

Comment · 3 years ago
Maybe the biggest problem is how big a problem it is. The extent of the problems we're facing may be too overwhelming for the average person to fully comprehend.

Overshoot encompasses many aspects, including biodiversity loss, deforestation, pollution, resource depletion, and much more.

The fundamental issue is the need for constant growth in a finite environment. Almost all money in the system is created through loans by banks, and there is an interest on that money that must be paid, typically around 3% or so, and this interest compounds exponentially.

As a result, our growth is exponential, and there is no sign of it slowing down. Our GDP doubles every 30 years, while our finite natural environment is the first to be sacrificed in an attempt to service one's debts.

All we see is an attempt at solving the energy, and only partially - because it's the easiest problem. We don't see any real debate about degrowth, reforestation, equity, food system, financial system ... no real progress on any front.

- We should stop using fossil fuels as soon as possible.

- Transitioning to plant-based diets can free up an area the size of both Americas, allowing for reforestation that would halt biodiversity loss and sequester as much carbon as we've released since the Industrial Revolution.

- Agriculture must be reformed to eliminate our reliance on harmful pesticides and practices that destroy biodiversity.

- Overfishing and pollution must be stopped to preserve marine life and ecosystems.

- Developed countries should pursue degrowth while supporting the development of less developed nations.

- Education and restoration should be prioritized over exploitation.

Animal species have witnessed a 70% decline in just the last 50 years. How long until our insect and pollinator populations collapse? How long until forests completely lose their ability to retain moisture and generate rain? How long until oceans are devoid of fish or sharks (with 90% already gone), leading to the collapse of the entire marine ecosystem? How long until major crop failures occur?

There have been collapses of civilizations before, but there has never been a total collapse of the biosphere as well. So I too worry for the future of today's young.

Sorry for the rant.

Comment · 3 years ago
> more definitive action will be taken against climate change

a) our problem is not only the climate change, but overshoot / polycrisis

b) there is a profit to be made even from the collapse, maybe bigger than ever

Nothing will get changed, because solving the problems would mean dismantling the system.

Comment · 3 years ago
> global warming could result in local cooling in Western Europe because of a weakened Gulf Stream. We are still far from that.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlantic_meridional_overturnin...

In July 2023, a paper from a pair of University of Copenhagen researchers suggested that AMOC collapse would most likely happen around 2057, with the 95% confidence range between 2025 - 2095.

It may be a controversial paper, but all probabilities are off after this year. So there is a possibility that it could collapse as soon as two years from now.

Comment · 3 years ago
Many individuals neglect to address climate change (or rather overshoot), often shifting blame while maintaining their consumption habits. For instance, despite knowing its significant environmental impact, most people are reluctant to reduce meat consumption, risking a bleak future for their offspring. This inaction and mere talk reflect a hypocritical stance, as people avoid making meaningful contributions to climate solutions, ultimately burdening future generations with the problem.
Comment · 3 years ago
Comment · 3 years ago
Comment · 3 years ago

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