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Comment · 1 month ago
I used to think about this and used https://ficalc.app/ but given all the updated models and this report https://actuaries.org.uk/media/ni4erlna/planetary-solvency.p...

It doesn't seem strategies like this will work in the future. Even the least extreme predictions point to world economy contraction.

Comment · 3 years ago
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ancient_history

"Ancient history covers all continents inhabited by humans in the period 3000 BC – AD 500."

Comment · 3 years ago
Comment · 3 years ago
What I don't understand is where is the memory? How does GPT-3 or ChatGPT remember so much information with just that architecture? It would seem that the maximum it could remember is 2048 words.

EDIT: Maybe it's 2048 x 96? Still seems low for what it can do.

Comment · 4 years ago
I'm fairly sure GPT-3 can't do any of that, because it was trained only with text. That is, it was trained without the context we are exposed to. Now imagine if it was trained with a body (similar sensors to what we have) in the real world. I'm not so sure we wouldn't get something indistinguishable from a human.
Comment · 4 years ago
Comment · 4 years ago
Comment · 4 years ago
Does anyone have references for these claims? Particularly:

> pH will drop to pH7.95 by 2045, and most marine life in our oceans dissolve.

Comment · 4 years ago
"Explicit construction of Local Hidden Variables for any quantum theory up to any desired accuracy"

https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.04335

Or right in the page I linked: "This makes it possible to construct a local hidden-variable theory that reproduces the predictions of quantum mechanics, for which a few toy models have been proposed."

Comment · 4 years ago
Regarding global conspiracy:

"Explicit construction of Local Hidden Variables for any quantum theory up to any desired accuracy"

https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.04335

Regarding unfalsifiable, from [0] "If engineers ever succeed in making such quantum computers, it seems to me that the CAT is falsified; no classical theory can explain quantum mechanics." By "such quantum computers" he means computers that can run Shor's algorithm. "...but factoring a number with millions of digits into its prime factors will not be possible – unless fundamentally improved classical algorithms turn out to exist."

[0] - https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.1548

Now, this does not mean these theories are ready, but they are being worked on.

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