maxaravind
Joined 7 months ago
Joined 7 months ago
Solving continual learning is key to AGI - and we maybe close to solving it.
Consider this, if something fundamental has changed in the world after the model was released(ie after the knowledge cut off date), then it would be very difficult for the model to reason about it. One concrete example is the the following: If you ask Opus or any decent coding model to do effort estimation on a coding task, then it would come up with multi week timelines - the models themselves doesn't know that because "they exist", these timelines have now been slashed to a few hours - you can try saying this in the prompt, however, they don't seem to internalise this.
Here is a clip of Dario hinting at something similar: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0x99Uu4rJc
What I am trying to argue for in the article is how such a view might be misplaced - just extending the context length and adding more instructions in the context will not get you continual learning - the representational capacity of weights will be the limiting factor.
Just a fun way to think about it. Would love to hear your thoughts.
It's kind of like asking if I make a random circuit with logic gates, does that become a universal computer that can run programs.
The brain theory also kind of says the same thing, but it's hard to say what stays fixed vs changes with experience in the brain ig.