Recent submissions

Comment · 6 years ago
It's quite incredible. This chemical appears to have a safety profile comparable with the coronavirus itself, and yet the stock market appears to anticipate a possibility that people will get injected with it en masse.
Comment · 6 years ago
You cannot really trust a source as biased as NYT on anything about Trump.
Comment · 6 years ago
I imagine the process is quite involved for tax optimization reasons.
Comment · 6 years ago
> the only son of Leila (née Stahl) and Congressman Howard Buffett.

> In high school, he invested in a business owned by his father and bought a 40-acre farm worked by a tenant farmer.

> Buffett’s net worth dropped earlier this week when he donated $2.9 billion in Berkshire Hathaway (BRKa.N) stock to charity

Such a generous man and an entrepreneur. We need more like him.

Comment · 6 years ago
> Either in-person classes are safe, and the rules can go back to pre-pandemic, or they aren't, and forcing students and professors to attend them is dangerous and cruel.

Actually, in-person classes are completely safe and this is a gentle nudge from the federal administration to make the universities reconsider their (completely political) decision to not resume normal classes this Fall.

Comment · 6 years ago
Expansion of space doesn’t preclude the universe being infinite.
Comment · 6 years ago
A fact check would be fine if it led to objective analyses of some sort, or even Wikipedia. But when I clicked it, it displayed some highly partisan sources, including a CNN article with its usual "Trump bad" vitriol. Maybe it was an algorithm's fault, but it didn't work at all.
Comment · 6 years ago
A big artificial biosphere to launch out of the solar system and live there away from all the human nonsense.
Comment · 6 years ago
It's just too contagious and countries are opening up that still have quite a large number of infections. Seems like a very tricky balancing act to keep R under 1.
Comment · 6 years ago
https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1258931279317405696 and there are more tweets on that if you scroll the feed.
Comment · 6 years ago
Interesting predictions. However, they do not fit the facts on the ground, at least here in Poland, which is some weeks ahead of the US with respect to the development of the epidemic.

(I'm relieved that) people have gotten sick and tired of the restrictions, about 50% (and growing every day) are not wearing the masks inside anymore, or bother with the distancing, despite official requirements. All restaurants and bars are opening up on Monday, my favourite one described the prior atmosphere as a "psychosis of fear".

It's interesting what happens when the second wave of infections occurs, which is becoming more and more likely. It's hard to imagine the population will be as fearful and obedient as the first time, should the government try to impose another lockdown.

If, as Nassim Taleb believes, the lockdown was bottom-up, demanded by the people rather than imposed by the government, a repeat seems unlikely. Perhaps that's why the stock market is surging?

Comment · 6 years ago
No. First, having multiple conditions doesn’t qualitatively change the result.

Second, the figure shown by default is not adjusted for comorbidities and the adjustment is clearly marked as experimental.

You are all just crazy with the panic and that’s it.

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