markhahn
Joined 15 years ago
Joined 15 years ago
I just watched a YT with Dylan Patel in which he said, with a straight face, that OpenAI/Anthropic were going to "continue" exponential growth until, basically, their valuation was several times world GDP.
There's a person behind every agent. That person may choose to be careful or not, but they are ultimately responsible.
AI is a bubble because the demand story is implausible. The fact that someone is willing to make ASML orders (which is a >= 10 year indicator) doesn't tell you anything at all about whether AI companies can, in fact, get MANY ORDERS OF MAGNITUDE of revenue growth.
very simple organisms can't do that, at all. you really do need something with a lot of internal state and state-transition structure (ie, neurons) to do that.
the neuron analogy has been there all along, since ANNs are entirely analogous to "BNNs" - for instance the NIPS conference.
the firing-rate-vs-activation-level difference isn't that big a deal.
eeg waveology faces the same problem as, for instance, Penrose and the quantum brain gang. there can be epiphenomena - they're not causal, but inconsequential side-effect.
the main point is that a wave doesn't carry much signal. at most it can synchronize, but it's across an apparently uselessly large population.