maga_2020

>If one accepts that the talent gene is randomly sprinkled around the planet, it seems obvious that the region where the majority of humans exist should be the epicenter of dynamism. It was true in the pre-industrialized world, with China, along with India, being the giants. ... . As Asia adopts best practices in modern ideas, institutions, and technologies, the historical norm should be reinstated in the global order.

Are these statements a hypothesis or a scientifically accepted truth?

a) that the talent has a gene

b) that the epicenter of dynamism is where the people with the talent gene are

c) that the gene is randomly sparked and is equally distributed

d) that the epicenter of dynamism is the same as the epicenter of economic prosperity (or am I assuming what is meant by dynamism)

I also agree with your sentiment. Excel is coding for people who are not programmers.

But I think the author conflates 1) engineering practices

2) Programming

3) Expressing domain knowledge using tables, charts and numbers

Most excel users do 3) They are certainly not programmers, and the do not follow engineering practices we associated with programming: modularity, hiearchical or functional re-usability, testability, etc

Excel creators do not reproduce bug reports, do not measure their success by the number of bugs they fixed, they do not do SDLC...

These are not particularly fault of excel. But as soon as there is a recognition that 'oh that excel workbook needs to be managed by programmers' -- then after a few month programmers realize that Excel and VBA macros are subpar programming environment, and will just argue that the way that the author does -- that it does not make sense to maintain a complex, business critical code within Excel.

So they will re-write it in Python or something else.

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I think Ex cell's success in the business world is precisely because it allows non-programmers to bypass the whole SDLC and express their domain knowledge in a computational system.

As programmers, we want to replace Excel with something that

a) allows business users to do what they want to do, without SDLC

b) when their work reaches a certain level of complexity, we want the tool to allow us to gradually transition the work the domain users have done into an engineered piece of software with minimal effort, free of cost, easy to debug.

I do not think such as system exists yet, but that would be a killer app

original poster here.

I read this site as a 'permabear' for financial news. A contrarian. Meaning that they help to filter out what's bushtit in a bullish sentiment. But I would not use them to guide me for what to invest into -- as according to them, anything but gold or silver, is a 'so so'.

I think they apply this 'permabear' lens onto the main-stream anything, especially mainstream advisory.

So that's the context.

With regards to the specific article, I would say it fits my 'Confirmation bias'. That is through my career I had not seen an effective link between the quality of academic credentials and ability to predict future.

An economics PhD or CS PhD (or masters) did not particularly make a person being able to analyze current conditions to predict future outcomes any more than a lay man with a lesser university degree.

Just thinking outload here the, diminishing reliance of a average layman on credentialed expertise, seems to be real.

This indicates a combination of 'experts' being intentionally used to promote some money making or policy making idea. Resulting in these experts being viewed as false prophets or health advisors, or military/foreign policy advisors. Essentially resulting in general public loosing trust in 'expert opinions'. That's what the article is reflecting, providing some current examples.

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Not mentioned in the article, in the field of computer programming, this may indicate that an advanced degree in computer science may not result in significantly differentiating 'practical' expertise in typical programming jobs with AI or without AI help. This is my particular experience too.

One could only project that view into many fields where evaluating critical impact of a particular decision or a prediction is not practically possible. So subsequent grading of an 'expert opinion' becomes an exercise in one side arguing for an 'F' and other side for a 'B+'

A thing about strategies, if it is good (even for a particular set of circumstances), if it is leveraged by other traders, it become less impactful

if my strategy is good, could you confirm that it will not be copied by anybody? (not that I have something that I think is good!)

Not sure that the arguments are reasonable.

This 3rd-level-derivative blaming Microsoft for innocent causalities in the war against terrorism... may work for some people, but certainly would not work for many OSS developers.

Using this 3rd-level-derivative logic that the author is using, could one assume that the author of this post supports the murderer, Elias Rodriguez?

No, it is not a single thing that drove US citizen to give Trump unprecedented mandate to fix the country.

It is:

1. the selective outrage judicial system that corrupted the trust in the process , the judges and the prosecutors. Not only towards Trump, but towards his close allies and supporters

2. It it the Covid response that forced people to get vaccinated to get a job (talk about bodily autonomy)

3. It is complete disregards for immigration law, importing into US workforce, families and criminals illegally. Causing hardship to US citizens

4. It is the visible immoral US stance on using Ukrainian lives in an unwinnable territorial war, so that US could 'weaken' Russia, while also enriching the military-industrial complex

5. Yes, it is the economy (inflation, lack of stable income, where people have to work multiple jobs to pay rent and to buy food).

6. It is a complete disregard for a family unit, parental accountability and control for mental health of young kinds. Adoption of transgender surgeries for the kids, having public schools push racial self-hate, demoralizing kids identities.

7. It is support for on campus violence against american Jews.

8. It is remarkable encouragement for transgender to compete, and even violently attack (or hurt in competition) females.

9. It emboldening the South American gangs in crossing borders, child trafficking, extortion.

10. it is distrust in 2020 election process, and the judicial refusal to actually review the cases brought in front of them.

Different 'categories' of voters were deeply disturbed by different points in the above. But the collectively -- it is clear that the problem why Dems lost is exactly in their anti-constitutional, immoral policies and constant lies by the propaganda machine and their 'experts' (that Trump is guilty of something, Russian interference, mRNA is safe ... etc)

Trump received a mandate not just to address one of the above points, but to address all of them and forever through strengthening the word of the Constitution via detective, preventative and corrective controls.

I keep thinking that these kinds of sites, e.g readthedocs.org should be LLMized. It is certainly easier and more efficient to browse through them via an LLM prompt, rather than the old search box.