lvnfg

Yes, work will expand to fill all your available hours due to unaligned incentives between who does the work (the SWE in this example) and who decide the quantity, timeline, and cost of work.

If the SWE can finish his work faster, 8x faster in this case, then backlogs will also be pushed to complete 8x faster by the project manager. If there are no backlogs, new features will be required at 8x faster / more by sales team / clients. If no new features are needed, pressures will be made until costs are 8x lower by finance. If there are no legal, moral, competitive, or physical constraints, the process should continue until either there’s only a single dev working on all his available time, or less time but for considerably less salary.

The most interesting parts of this paper (in my opinion) from Microsoft Research are found on page 12 and 13, where they list the jobs and occupations most and least likely to be impacted by AI, respectively.

The top most impacted job is Interpreters and Translators, which seems right. The 17th however is Mathematician, which to me seems overconfident?

The least impacted jobs are mostly jobs that require physical interaction with the real world and / or have critical safety requirements, so no surprises there. Dishwashers being one of the last jobs to be taken by AI (24th from the bottom) did make me laugh, though.

Sure. I'm not claiming that everyone must find the ad disturbing, just that the ones who do tend to feel much more strongly than those who don't, and their feelings tend to not to be dismissed as hyperbole by the general public. I chose puppies as example since many people love dogs, but you can just as easily substitute your favorite objects / animals here.

Imagine an ad for a virtual puppy game using hydraulic press to crush real dogs, showing closeup of twisted broken head and blood splashing on camera and all. Surely you can understand why most people can get very upset seeing that, and dog owners in particular can feel like their soul is being crushed?

Well, artists and musicians can have as much emotional attachment to their tools as pet owners to their pets. To most people the ad is only slight disturbing, but to the artists (and the nostalgic) it’s soul crushing. That’s why Apple is apologizing: they’ve offended their core market.

Gitcoin probably would work for developers, who are highly paid already and their code have high potential of being used in profitable projects. Not so well for artists who earn a fraction of developers' salary and their arts are already being treated like commodity.

The differences I can see are these:

With websites you can set a robot.txt file to opt out of indexing, and if they keep indexing anyway there are mechanisms to block it, both technical (i.e. ip restrictions) and legal (you can sue the indexer). The average website owners are also more technical and can understand the benefits and mechanisms, so presumably if you let your site gets indexed it's because you want to. And even so, what you want is for the search result page to drive traffic back to your site, not so that another site can be generated somewhere else and profited off by other.

With images, the artists are generally not technical and savvy enough to know how to opt out, there are currently no mechanism to opt out of indexing anyway once the image is uploaded to internet, the generated images do not increase awareness of the artist or drive traffic to their websites in any way (if they even have a website), plus the explicit goals of the resulting images are to make money for the model owner and the prompter.

Changes take time, and there are massive opportunity costs to moving your supply chain base elsewhere. If other countries can do manufacturing equally well (same quality, cost, legal environment, etc), but you already have your base fully established in China serving your entire global operations, moving to the another country gives you no benefits, and you face the risk of severe disruptions to your operations if anything goes wrong.

So the world will only move out of China if other countries like India can offer significantly lower cost at same quality, which they haven't been able to do, or if there are significant geopolitical risks to staying, which seems likelier by the day.