linearithmic

testing beliefs against reality

Remote work buys time for housing reform.

forecasting bots will transform the field

Yes, great comment. Getting adoption will be a challenge (although the concept might appeal to fledgling applications).

it’s not a technical limitation, it’s a business model

I found the argument of the counterfactual to be persuasive. Do you have a sense of how much of the time would people actually be doing something better with the extra bandwidth?

Possible, but seems high to me. I'm not sure if those planes were really destroyed or just damaged. My knee-jerk estimate would be somewhere in the hundreds of millions. Still a very successful operation by Ukraine though.

I'd be curious about forecaster estimates of monetary damages from the drone strikes.

Good point. For me the issue is the variance which governs the time that I have to leave. For the subway, if I give myself a 10 minute margin beyond the median time, I'm quite likely to be on time, for walking or biking if I give myself a 5 minute margin, I'll almost certainly be on time. For driving on the other hand... as per the article, a trip with a median travel time of 17 minutes can take me over an hour when traffic backs up.

Thanks for the feedback! I'll try to add something about automated cameras and tag violations (which I didn't address) in my next deep dive.

I see these changes as expanding freedom, not reducing it. Car ownership costs thousands annually, which many young and low-income New Yorkers can't afford. Improving buses, creating safe bike lanes, and making parking more efficient gives everyone more affordable transportation choices. From my perspective, the current system restricts freedom, which excludes precisely the young and less affluent.