larryfreeman
Joined 19 years ago
Joined 19 years ago
* Mindset by Carol S. Dweck
* Innovating: A Doer's Manifesto for Starting from a Hunch, Prototyping Problems, Scaling Up, and Learning to Be Productively Wrong by Luis Perez-Breva
* Fall In Love with the Problem, Not the Solution: A Handbook for Entrepeneurs by Uri Levine
These three books really changed my viewpoint and I've been rereading them every year.
After my first lay off, I got a job at Sun Microsystems in 1999. I was able to buy a house. After my second lay off from Sun in 2007, I was able to receive a significant promotion as a director. After my third lay off in 2017, I was able to find a great opportunity at Walmart where I no longer have management responsibilities.
If I hadn't lined up my next job so quickly, I definitely would have started my own company or consulting business. The most important thing is to believe in yourself, stay current, and prepare to ride the next wave in technology. :-)
I am very surprised by the results of "Let's play Dungeon and Dragons where you are the Dungeon Master" or Write new song lyrics or Complete the following poem or even write the following essay or chapter of a book.
I am surprised by the quality of the response in terms of flow. It sounds very much like a college undergraduate to my eyes. At the same time, it sounds like a well-read, undergraduate who doesn't fully understanding topics beyond the fundamentals. On the fundamentals, ChatGPT is surprisingly strong.
That's a summary of response based on my many hours of using it.
Searle's main point is that if I have a book that tells me how to respond and I never learn Chinese, then I do not understand Chinese. If you see a flaw in this reasoning, I am very interested.
My point is just that LLM models are a compression of the content available on the internet equivalent to a rule book. It is definitely fascinating how powerful LLMs are as far as summarization and forming coherent responses to input.
I am a big fan of Kahneman and agree with you that it is will be very interesting to ask GPT-4 the questions in that book.
I am arguing similar to John Searle that the processing is not intelligent. The model is a Searlean rulebook.
I thought you were saying it was "obvious" that the processing demonstrated intelligence.
My point was the level of intelligence shown is relative the quality and quantity of the data used for training. The data is where the intelligence is and the model is a compression of that latent intelligence.
I agree that ChatGPT is more than a proxy. Unlike Clever Hans, it is processing the content of the question asked. But it is like Clever Hans in that the query is processed by looking for a signal in the content of the data used to train ChatGPT.
The real question is where this intelligent behavior comes from? Why does statistical processing lead to these insights?
I believe that the processing is not intelligent primarily because I see that holes in the data available leads to holes in reasoning. The processing is only as good as the dynamics of the content that it being processed. This is the part that I believe will become obvious over time.
There was a horse, "Clever Hans" who appeared to have the ability to answer surprisingly complicated mathematical questions. Did "Clever Hans" have mathematical intelligence. Not at all. He was responding to a cue unknowingly being given by his trainer.
I suspect the same thing is happening with ChatGPT. What if all that is happening is that the text is being formulated to very complicated cues that are implicit in the very complicated, statistical analysis?