kertoip_1

> YOLO

The actual moat is the same as in web services - data and user base.

Why is Google a monopoly? Do they have so advanced software that no one can outperform? I doubt it. What they have is a giant user base that generate loads of real-time data, which make Google services more accurate.

So how AI company can build a moat? Exactly the same way: by making a giant user base produce loads of real time data. Just imagine a service that will generate answers not only based on data they were trained on, but on all data from all user conversations. Imagine being at a concert, looking for a certain type of beer and instantly receiving an answer from an AI assistant about that only because some other guy in a crowd looking for exactly the same thing said to his agent "ah, here they are!".

It is not happening just yet because of making it secure and private is not yet solved, but it's just a matter of time I think.

The job of a programmer isn't to write code, but to automate things. Code itself doesn't have any value unless it solves some real problem not related to coding.

So if the work of a programmer can be automated then this means that any work can be automated. So no, it's not about software engineering only.

Just attach OpenRouter to your coding agent tool and try yourself. All relevant open weight models are there. Every person have different needs and expectations

Might depend on used language. From my experience Claude Sonnet indeed never make any syntax mistakes in JS/TS/C#, but these are popular language with lots of training data.

> It's over for us

To be more specific: "us" in this sentence means the creators of dumb, shallow, and derivative movies.

The cognitive error here is that people see generated video and are overwhelmed by how it looks good, but they don't know how much it differs from an original vision. Vision that human prompting it had in mind while creating it. And I'm sure this differs a lot. Whoever tried to generate video using generative models knows that what you get is basically random. But movies never had been about showing random things.

There is no way the movie industry collapses. But it will certainly transform more into computer work.

But you still can use Thunderbird for that. I recommend it no matter what mail provider is used. Web interfaces are so heavy nowadays, compared to that, Thunderbird feels so fast.

> They impose minimal privacy risk.

Absolutely not. Privacy risk depends on how well protected is the weakest point in your network. So if one of the participants' device is compromised then the entire discussion is compromised too.

On closed, proprietary platform you just cut off the weakest point from access to the data when you suspect it is not protected enough, as data it lies on a single server. On mailing list you can't do anything, because data lies on somebody's else's server

I think it might be the same as with programmers. It might look like AI Agents can do all the programming, but when you actually try to use it do do things it quickly turns out to be not so much reliable.

I theory you could install some kind of TPM-like device to every hardware that signs the data with key generated by manufacturer. Should be designed in such a way that it is very easy to break it when trying to tamper with it

Yeah, the worst thing is when parts of the same application are under the hood different SPAs.

First example that comes to my mind: web version of ProtonMail. Going to settings feels like loading a completely separate website. Or OVH dashboard.

In 2025:

1. Viral LLM-based game will be released, new trend emerges

2. Sora-like (AI generated) content floods Internet, significant advancements in that field

2a. Maybe a new kind of addictive video content generator is being released. Possibly for porn

3. AI generated music becomes popular and takes significant market share on Spotify (but it's going to be a music meant to play "in the background", like in supermarket)

4. Significant competitor to Google Search becomes popular. Mostly because of Internet becoming closed due to crawlers gathering data for training. Much less data available publicly, rise of "closed gardens".

5. SpaceX successfully launches payload to orbit with Starship and catches both stages.

6. Much more debris on Earth's orbit, dangerous incident in space because of that

7. VR remains a niche

8. More and more users start using voice to control their personal computers

I don't understand. Author of the linked forum thread states that he discontinues both Google Play AND F-droid verion