kds
Joined 18 years ago
Joined 18 years ago
In his book "How to Get Rich" he related his hint to pioneer PC-magazines publishing to his interest in early PC-games.
This seems to be the case PG wrote recently in his latest essay - when someone is experiencing a new thing purely as a user, not developer, and feeling and thinking about what's still missing that could be useful to others like him.
In his book he elaborates deeply - but accessibly for "laymen" - what went wrong, how it could be fixed, but against whose interests in US the ideal public policy solution would have been, and so why just a dubious set of half-measures were taken, by whom, and how it might all worsen as situation in the near future.
So far, for the period from 2010 to 2012, what he claims and predicts seems right and rings true to me.
"from twisted.internet import protocol, reactor"
Somehow I feel cheated... ;) :P
These are not something to be expected from venture capital. They are something resulting from deliberate state scientific and industrial policy, longterm goals, and adequate funding.
Examples from 1950s-1970s: DARPA/USA, and the resp. space and rocketry programmes in the former USSR.
Private capital - be it venture or not - comes later (and this is not a bad thing) when the new technologies are relatively well understood , "tameable", and can be applied to mass human consumers' or corporate needs (perceived or not, new or old) yet to be satisfied.
Private capital doesn't like fundamental scientific research risks - even in the pharmacy industry. It tries to bear mostly the market-related and implementational risks.
A thought experiment: Think on what funds and in what conditions happened the development of packet switching, TCP/IP protocols suite, HTTP, (examples of fundamental breakthrough). Then think the same about Facebook, for example.
My point summarized => States/Governments shouldn't worry about entrepreneurship programmes, clusters, tech-business climat, etc.
If adequate funding is provided for breakthrough scientific research and to the universities in general (so there are also the high-quality scientists to do it), breakthrough technology business solving big problems will happen inevitably.
PG explicitly states in the essay that it's not that much on Java itself but rather on the way hackers judge technologies (the "hacker radar" in his expression).
And these are not quite predictions but statements on how Java is (or was then back in 2001) perceived.
And I think, IMHO, a substantial part of the Java success today should be attributed to the JVM, not so much to Java, the language. Clojure/Scala/etc. are kind of clues for this.
BTW, if Telegram crypto was that much insecure why members of the so-called "security community" haven't yet compromised the Telegram chat for real (regardless of any contests and petty rules) and proven they had been right?
I don't rule out this as impossible - I just think that without such proof it's all just a kind of stupid whining.