karlkeefer

Joined 13 years ago

Karma
150
Submissions
44
Member since
Nov 11
https://karlkeefer.com
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Recent submissions

Comment · 3 years ago
Farm animals are also exempted from most animal cruelty laws via the magic words "standard agricultural practice".
Comment · 3 years ago
It likely will be with language models becoming ubiquitous.
Comment · 3 years ago
Comment · 4 years ago
It seems like suggesting there is _no such threshold_ is even more in need of citation.

Boundlessness means that X could be all domesticated animals, and Y=1 human. Surely that seems like not the right call, given that it would ultimately kill even more humans.

Comment · 4 years ago
Yeah.. the hype I think makes it harder to appreciate the main use case, which essentially was already covered by the first cryptocoin, and is still where it sees the most real-world use: resistance to state control. Folks use it to evade capital controls, use darkweb markets, launder money, find radical activism, etc.

That's still a big deal, but it's far short of the impact-for-everyone promised by some folks in the industry.

Comment · 4 years ago
Videos are short, can be watched many times by 1 viewer, and may be viewed by all the folks that don't speak English as a first language, but speak it a second or third language, or have subtitles available (which are now automated).

165mil isn't as big as it sounds with those factors in mind.

Comment · 4 years ago
Prediction markets have a built-in incentive for accuracy that's absent from broadcast news. It's useful to have an aggregate answer to things like "how likely is Russia to invade Ukraine" that is to some degree shielded from the normal filters of partisanship.

Or from another angle:

Changing your individual vote in an attempt to shift the outcome of an election is extraordinarily unlikely to actually make the difference, so prediction markets most likely punish people (with losses) who try to game it with their own votes. If you and a large group of people plan to do this, that will be priced into the market, preventing you from profiting very much.

Comment · 4 years ago
That's a pretty high bar

Benz made the first car in 1886, which in your analogy means today is 1900.

I will be curious to see how crypto holds up in recession or under monetary crisis.

One of the reasons it was created hasn't really been tested, since the economy in the west hasn't faced a major crisis since its invention.

It seems plausible (if unlikely) that external events could push crypto adoption into more "normal" use cases. E.g. Israel's recent ban on cash transactions points to one way more things may become untenable in traditional finance.

I don't actually have strong opinions on what will happen - I do find your analogy fun to think about though!

Comment · 4 years ago
Glad it suits you! Let me know if you run into issues :)
Comment · 4 years ago
Thanks :)
Comment · 4 years ago
Comment · 4 years ago
Area-wise, most US cities are much bigger than European ones, but that's actually part of the problem. Huge amounts of our housing stock is kind of far from everything else, making biking much less appealing.
Comment · 5 years ago
I think you might be creating the value judgement on middle-class? I don't read the label as condescending.

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