joshuahhh
Joined 15 years ago
Joined 15 years ago
But in this survey data, the values in the distribution are spaced far apart. The discretization is so large that the violin plots show meaningless and weirdly inconsistent curves between x-values which actually have data. A bar plot would be much clearer.
OP, I think you have done a fine job of styling your plots tastefully. But I recommend taking another look at the visual language you have chosen to communicate the data.
* Prediction markets are usually for binary outcomes. I imagine the most useful role of binary variables in Guesstimate would be to mix two different distributions. "If Clinton wins, student debt in 2018 will look like distribution A; if Sanders wins, student debt in 2018 will look like distribution B".
* I'm not sure how Augur (or any other market) reports likelihoods, but it's good to keep in mind that market prices do NOT generally reflect any sort of average belief. See https://www.aeaweb.org/assa/2006/0106_1015_0703.pdf.
FWIW, part of what I am trying to do with this gallery is show the power of images to illustrate /concepts/ (or ideas, or systems, or models, ...), rather than just /data/. There is a lot of overlap between "concept viz" and "data viz", in both topics and methods of presentation. But I still think there is a difference worth pointing out, especially since "concept viz" is a lot trickier and less developed.
If I wanted to be picky about statistics (I generally do), I'd note:
1. Equating enforcement-related statistics with usage-related statistics is a dangerous thing to do. For example:
a. The rate of non-CRACK incidents in TENDERLOIN is probably low (disproportionate with actual use) due to the focus limited police resources put on crack.
b. I would bet that the high rate of WEED incidents in INGLESIDE / BAYVIEW vs, say, MISSION, is due to police using weed enforcement as a weapon against gangs (and minorities). I mean, people smoke a lot of weed in the Mission.
2. Putting "AMPHETAMINE"-related crimes under "METH" is inaccurate, as is putting "OPIUM"/"OPIATE"-related crimes under "HALLUCINOGENIC".
I'm looking forward to trying this site and seeing if it works for me. Thanks!