hiramwen
Joined 3 months ago
Joined 3 months ago
I added a Kelly simulator to my own personal stock tracker after seeing this
https://www.hiramdeals.com/list
Affiliate disclosure - this is an affiliate site, but free to users and has strict quality controls on the listings that are retained.
1) Frontier labs have no incentive to give the general public their best anymore; it's instantly distilled off of them. Why not charge governments and big corps real money to use the real good stuff instead? 2) So we get distilled-off-frontier public APIs like 5.6 and Fable/Opus. And the open source labs are distilling off of those. 3) There's a lot of benchmark hacking right now among all the publicly available models, actual usability of Opus for coding is far below its benchmarks suggest. 4) But context window, cybersecurity, logical coherence, and tool usage are absolutely better on Fable and Sol. It looks to me their internal tools definitely even better and not plateauing. But we won't get to use it.
Also I love how literal Qwen 3.5 was, hopefully 3.8 is still extremely literal. The token explosions were actually helpful in debugging prompts.
It uses an OpenAI-compatible API and can power private apps or agentic sessions; I’m currently using local models for creative writing and business projects. Qwen3.8 still needs some per-machine tuning and can use a lot of thinking tokens, but in one particularly extreme test it one-shot an absolutely gorgeous app after about 19 hours of thinking.