garrettdreyfus

Joined 13 years ago

Karma
215
Submissions
107
Member since
Oct 3
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Recent submissions

Comment · 1 year ago
I very much like your categories point here by the way!
Comment · 1 year ago
Hi,

I appreciate the effort in your comment. I think upon further reflection my simpler objection is calling freshwater loss the main driver of sea level rise when the journal article and news article don’t. Also I would note this is only one study.

Comment · 1 year ago
Although to your point it does vary alot over different windows of time.
Comment · 1 year ago
Comment · 1 year ago
The study you cite is talking about sea level rise since 1900 which is a very different story.

The IPCC section “9.6.1.1 Global Mean Sea Level Change Budget in the Pre-satellite Era” says Since SROCC, a new ocean heat content reconstruction (Section 2.3.3.1; Zanna et al., 2019) has allowed global thermosteric sea level change to be estimated over the 20th century. As a result, the sea level budget for the 20th century can now be assessed for the first time. For the periods 1901–1990 and 1901–2018, the assessed very likely range for the sum of components is found to be consistent with the assessed very likely range of observed GMSL change (medium confidence), in agreement with Frederikse et al. (2020b; Table 9.5). This represents a major step forward in the understanding of observed GMSL change over the 20th century, which is dominated by glacier (52%) and Greenland Ice Sheet mass loss (29%) and the effect of ocean thermal expansion (32%), with a negative contribution from the LWS change (–14%). While the combined mass loss for Greenland and glaciers is consistent with SROCC, updates in the underlying datasets lead to differences in partitioning of the mass loss.”

Edit: by a different story I mean a different story from what is the leading driver of sea level rise. Sea level rise from ice melt was larger since 1900 because sea level rise in general was less fast back then and global mean temperature rise was much smaller so thermosteric sea level rise played less of a role. Thermosteric sea level rise is larger than ground water factors, both will be eclipsed by ice melt in the upcoming century.

I would note the authors pointedly do not call it the leading driver of sea level rise.

Comment · 1 year ago
Sorry I am referring to HN submission title not the article title
Comment · 1 year ago
My reading of Figure 6 https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adx0298 suggests that this study still has thermosteric effects making up the majority of sea level rise.

I also highly recommend reading up on the GRACE satellite used in this study it is amazing https://gracefo.jpl.nasa.gov/resources/50/how-grace-fo-measu...

Comment · 1 year ago
I’m not sure this title is completely correct

“The researchers identified the type of water loss on land, and for the first time, found that 68% came from groundwater alone — contributing more to sea level rise than glaciers and ice caps on land.”

They are saying the leading loss of water loss is from ground water. The largest contributor to sea level rise I would guess is still thermosteric sea level rise due to the ocean becoming warmer and less dense

See ipcc https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/chapter/chapter-9/

9.6.1 Global and Regional Sea Level Change in the Instrumental Era

In particular, Cross-Chapter 9.1, Figure 1 | Global Energy Inventory and Sea Level Budget. Panel b

EDIT: @dang could the submission title be changed to the article or journal article title?

“New global study shows freshwater is disappearing at alarming rates”

Or

“Unprecedented continental drying, shrinking freshwater availability, and increasing land contributions to sea level rise”

Comment · 1 year ago
Comment · 1 year ago
https://michaelrlowry.substack.com/p/critical-hurricane-fore...

“The ATMS sounder that remains is far inferior to hurricane forecasters than the SSMIS instrument the Department of Defense is discontinuing. Unlike the SSMIS which scans at a continuous resolution, the quality of the ATMS degrades considerably on its edges, rendering the sounder useless for most operational hurricane forecasts. The example below shows the difference between the scans from both instruments for Hurricane Erick last Wednesday, June 18th.”

There is also a useful figure included.

Comment · 1 year ago
https://www.preventionweb.net/news/which-hurricane-models-sh...

HAFS is often the best

https://www.noaa.gov/news/new-noaa-system-ushers-in-next-gen...

European models assimilate in data from US satellites and vice versa

Comment · 1 year ago
This post says very little and you can look up almost all public salaries.

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