fanzhang
Joined 20 years ago
Joined 20 years ago
This seems a lot better than those quizzes or quotes that ask a bunch of questions first and then ask for your email at the end -- or worse -- a payment.
In reality, he's doing exactly what is on the tin: reducing tariffs, and doing what he wants to do, because he feels like it.
From fixed standards, the median kid being raised today is doing way better than 100 years ago, even though people chose to have way more kids 100 years ago: - Cars were death traps. - Dying in infancy and 20s, 30s was common. - Very few people went to college.
100 years ago, no one felt "indecent" to raise a kid they can't afford to send to college, or knew at a 1% chance of dying due to malnutrition. Now, for many people, they would feel indecent bringing someone into the world in that state.
The fact that the first doesn't lead more to the second is a failure of the system.
This is the same sort of value system that leads to accepting job candidates with neat haircuts and says the right shibboleths, versus the ones that make the right bottom line impact.
Basically, are "good" papers that are very rigorous but lead to nothing actually "good"? If your model of progress in science is that rigorous papers are a higher probability roll of the dice, and nonrigorous papers are low probability rolls of the dice, then we should just look for rigorous papers. And that a low-rigor paper word2vec actually make progress was "getting really lucky" and we should have not rated the paper well.
But I contend that word2vec was also very innovative, and that should be a positive factor for reviewers. In fact, I bet that innovative papers have a hard time being super rigorous because the definition of rigor in that field has yet to be settled yet. I'm basically contending that on the extreme margins, rigor is negatively correlated with innovation.
But at that time I was young and had no finance experience, so though that the adults in the room knew best. Turns out not!
I don't think the base problem is that people shaded their numbers one way or another, it's that the system is designed wrong.