dash2

Joined 13 years ago

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8,928
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2,809
Member since
Apr 10
Social scientist, hack the occasional R package. My substack: https://wyclif.substack.com. I wrote a book: https://www.wyclifsdust.com. davidhughjones at gmail
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Recent submissions

Comment · 4 days ago
It's a subliminal warning. "On the trolley problem, this model will try to kill you and make it look like an 'accident'."
Comment · 5 days ago
I think lots of Catholics don't take that bit too literally though, eh? Like they might practice contraception despite what various Popes have said.
Comment · 5 days ago
It's easier to play with if the documentation and initial selling page is easy for humans to read!
Comment · 5 days ago
> equivalent
Comment · 6 days ago
Do you think it would be worth writing the landing page yourself? The concepts seem interesting but it's painful to wade through stuff like "One memory model: stacks, and scope exit is the free".
Comment · 6 days ago
I'm sorry, I've read about thirty paragraphs of this, and I still would like to know: what does Raven do? Also btw, I don't know what Bottles is, or Eagle, or a PE file. Maybe this is just for a very specialized target audience, and if so, my bad.
Comment · 6 days ago
The US and China are not the same country and do not do the exact same stuff. To take some easy examples, the US government never imposed forced abortions on large numbers of women, nor has it invaded its neighbours (in the past century at least), nor has it starved many of its own citizens due to misguided economic policies, nor does it regularly and systematically violate habeas corpus (though perhaps some ICE policies might come close), nor does it censor its citizens.
Comment · 9 days ago
Aren't llms now outperforming humans in prediction markets? If so, that seems as if they would probably be quite good at confidence scoring.
Comment · 13 days ago
> I expect it to cost somewhere in the neighborhood of an experienced dev because that’s the alternative.

That's only true if a single company owns the frontier, otherwise the alternative is "a rival frontier model" and the cost will be the marginal price of the compute + amortized training costs.

Comment · 13 days ago
>For example, “You can’t beat the market, dollar-cost average into index funds!” is the kind of viral story that will earn you nods of approval from millennials and upvotes on Reddit.

>Pattern matching, on the other hand, can drive you to make moves like an advanced chess engine. Moves that others find alien and incomprehensible.

Sure. Index funds is a viral story which has a lot of rigorous data behind it. As for the advanced chess engine of intuition... ever heard of Fooled By Randomness?

Comment · 13 days ago
So it seems worth vibecoding a survival analysis for bugs introduced. But not quite a survival analysis because we don't even know the bugs exist until the event of their discovery.... Is there a publicly available dataset for this, with a URL?
Comment · 13 days ago
I would not start using this until it is mature enough for the developers to write their own homepage.
Comment · 15 days ago
What's missing from the OSI definition in this case? How do you think it is limited compare to the standard usage?
Comment · 16 days ago
The UK has the opposite problem. You don't get overtreated, but you may get undertreated - sometimes it is impossible to find a NHS dentist at all. Indeed, I went private because I literally couldn't find one after my old one sacked me. The private dentists probably have the same problems as described here. But I luckily found a small, nice, ethical one who was recommended by people in town I trust. Literal word-of-mouth still beats any algorithm I know for this kind of question.

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