dancric

Joined 15 years ago

Karma
481
Submissions
26
Member since
Jan 18
I launched my first company, Dynamism Studios, at the age of 18. Since then, I have worked at start-ups like CollabRx, companies like Google, and government agencies like the CIA. My research on Silicon Valley won one of Stanford's top research awards, and I was a Fulbright Scholar to South Korea where I researched and presented on Korea's economic innovation strategy. I formerly worked at General Catalyst as an investor, and today hang out around the world, mostly in Seoul. You can read more about me at http://www.dannycrichton.com/
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Recent submissions

Comment · 1 year ago
Altman acknowledged this week that his company is bumping up against some limits. While underlying AI models are “still getting better at a rapid rate”, he told reporters at a San Francisco dinner, chatbots like ChatGPT are “not going to get much better”.
Comment · 12 years ago
There are lots of good comments here, and as the writer, I do appreciate all of them.

One element of this story, which was hard to really spend the time on, is the public's difference in perception regarding disruption of other technology companies, compared to its perception of industrial and service based industries. The public doesn't seem to care when a company like Intel takes on a company like Fairchild Semiconductor. Part of the issue is a lack of technical sophistication, so it is difficult to separate competitors based on their products. The more important reason, though, is that technology devouring technology is easily understood as progress. 500 engineers lost their job at one firm, but a new firm is hiring 500.

Now take a look at the service disrupters like AirBnB, Uber, etc. First, unlike technical disruption, the public understands the businesses here very well. It's a hotel. It's a taxi. It's a laundromat. Second, there is a distinct feel that these new companies are not playing by the rules, whatever those rules might be (it doesn't help that these companies publicly flaunt the rules either). Third, and most importantly, there is far more perception of the people losing their jobs, rather than the gain these companies are making in terms of labor flexibility.

There are plenty of greenfield companies out there (Nest, DeepMind, Climate Corporation are acquisitions in the last month that come to mind). But the region is not exclusively doing that kind of progress anymore, and so we shouldn't be surprised when people aren't immediately positive about the changes taking place anymore.

Comment · 13 years ago
The book, "Anatomy of an Epidemic", provides a really comprehensive look at how we ended up in this situation. Some of the keys here:

1) A desire to bring a level of "science" to a part of our physiology we don't understand. The thinking here is that while we do not understand the etiology of depression, we can at minimum begin to use blunt tools to solve problems. The issue as anyone who has studied complex systems understands, is that the feedback loops are so dense, there is no method to understand what is happening.

2) Financialization of treatment – drugs make more money than therapy and other methods. Or to use an HN phrase, drugs are more easily scaled to the population than other methods. The incentives throughout the entire system push people this direction, regardless of the underlying research.

3) Treatment doesn't happen instantly in any case. The issue with much of the research today is that we take a very limited time window to evaluate the efficacy of different treatments. If, instead, we looked at treatment over the life course, the results are often radically different.

This is where startups like Seven Cups of Tea will hopefully play the world. This mental health crisis offers a huge opportunity for disruption and creativity. As a quote in the Stanford alumni magazine said this month: "One hundred years from now, people will look back at the age of giving SSRIs and they will have a reputation that's akin to bloodletting."[1]

[1] http://alumni.stanford.edu/get/page/magazine/article/?articl...

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