daivd
Joined 17 years ago
Joined 17 years ago
It is the most counter-intuitive statistic problem I know (worse than Monty Hall), it trips everyone up at first.
No problem about the stubborness ;)
In the problem I pose, the person does not randomly come forward and tell me "I have a boy born on a tuesday". In my problem I ask random people who I know have two children if they have "at least on boy born on a tuesday" until someone says yes.
Try something easier, for example two dice. The probability to roll 1 1 is less than to roll 1 2, because 1 2 can be rolled either by first rolling a 1 or a 2, while 1 1 can be rolled only by first rolling a 1. That information is used often in dice games like backgammon.
Same with children: BT BT can only be "rolled" if your first child is BT, whil BT BW can be "rolled" if your first child is either BT or BW.
Do you see?
It is the nature of technology that bitcoins will someday become MySpace.
I am open to be convinced otherwise by someone knowledgeable.
I think switching the usual meaning of = and == will be confusing. O'Caml uses = and == for deep and shallow comparison respectively and <- for assignment. That is a possibility.