cas14655
Joined 4 years ago
Joined 4 years ago
Not only did we never do anything like COVID measures for any of the diseases you mentioned but the WHO described the individual NPIs that would later make up the COVID "lockdowns" as "never recommended under any circumstances" in their 2019 flu pandemic recommendations.
What happened with COVID was an unprecedented overreaction by historical standards where we threw overboard everything we knew to try authoritarian gobbledygook on the back of the carefully cultivated FUD around COVID coming out of China.
You are not considering how positivism works. If you say lockdowns work you have to prove that in all instances. I just need one (1) counter example to disprove your theory completely.
> Do this enough times and you'll find a pen with p<0.05 that goes the farthest.
Cherry-picking. Yeah, that's what focusing on Australia and NZ while ignoring Peru and Sweden is, exactly.
Finding two patients who got better after blood-letting is not enough to prove blood-letting works. Your theory has to fit all the available quality data (so no China or model "data" allowed).
> I'm sure they're be so upset to get free money per month while not having to work.
Yeah that was the extend of lockdowns. Go tell that to the people that where locked up without visitors in nursing homes for months on end.
In broader context the implication is not correct. We had experts consider long and hard what to do in the case of an influenza pandemic and the consensus for decades had been to disrupt society as little as possible.
This is the WHOs evaluation of NPIs in 2019 (PDF Warning): https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/329438/9789...
It says Contact tracing, Quarantine of exposed individuals, Entry and exit screening and Border closures are "Not recommended in any circumstances".
The experts thought about and decided it was not worth it.
Source: ONS
Not only did lockdowns fail, they were unnecessary and cruel and tyrannical. I sincerely hope that the responsible people will face justice that is just as harsh as the lockdown enforcement was.
Conservatives (-2, flagged): "All you'll do is cause Z"
Reality: X is now worse and Y had unintended consequence Z
Liberals: "Z isn't happening and anyone who says otherwise is a conspiracy theorists anti-vax COVID denier fascist "
Liberal Fact Checkers: Headline: No, Z isn't real. Text: actually Z is real
Liberal Media: Here is why Z is a good thing
Liberals: Well, of course, there was always going to be Z dum-dum anyways we have to fix X+1 with Y+1
NHS spending 2009/2010: £124.1 billion
NHS spending 2019/2020: £148.9 billion
> What exactly is the point you are trying to make?
You don't have a clue about what's actually going on in reality. That was the point. Thanks for proving it.
> Pouring money into "diversity" is certainly nothing to do with it
It must be nice to be able to spend the same money twice. Please let us know how exactly to accomplish this feat.
> Overall resilience of the NHS
People dying right now waiting for ambulances. People dying in spates of cancer and heart disease due to delayed screening or missed treatments[1]. "the NHS is so resilient".
> It's not difficult to draw a straight line from one to the other.
So your plan is to put all your eggs into one basket (i.e. state-run health care) and then cross your fingers that no bad politicians (ehm conservatives) ever get into power. That sounds like a very well thought out and forward looking plan.
[1] https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/we-re-at-pandemic-levels...
What this means is that your wife's immune system isn't getting challenged and isn't learning about the ever changing pathogens around it. It's not building immunity to the various strains every winter and it therefore can't get any cross-immunity ie against SARS-COV-2 [1].
All we know about the immune system suggests this is not good in the long term.
If true and I kind of hope it's not for this reason, your wife might be setting herself up for a very serious disease down the line. I hope this is not the case and wish both of you the best of luck.
[1] https://www.mpg.de/17434954/0907-moge-prior-exposure-to-comm...
Source: https://news.gallup.com/opinion/gallup/354938/adults-estimat...
Question: how low does the IFR have to be so we can call a disease "not so bad" without "minimizing" it?
Today, it has integrations for Paypal, Etsy, Shopify, DHL and HBCI (no more copy and paste, finally) and basically covers the whole order cycle with minimal fuss and gives her a quick way to publish new products which she does a lot as fabrics come in / get sold out.
I guess that's not that useless but of course it simply can not be worth the time I spent on it.
Yet, I don't regret doing it in the least because for me it literally is a labor of love. Plus, I learned a lot doing it and I can go down crazy paths like this one time I made an android app to cut out the background of her product photos. Didn't turn out to be useful in the end but eventually I did use OpenCV via JavaCV for something else in the software.
Currently I am in the process of rewriting it in Kotlin / Multiplatform (JVM+JS) and again, I'm learning a lot and making the software a lot sleeker and more functional. That's not going to be worth it either, I am sure.
Anyway, I wish I had day job were I was in constant contact with users to built them something of tangible utility and value.
> The numbers you cite represent a real-terms fall after inflation despite the population growing about 8% in that time
Who made the population grow like that? Isn't it usually the same people who tend to champion mass immigration and socialized health care? Have you ever spoken up about the tension between these two issues?
Who made the inflation? Isn't it usually the same people who champion centralized fractional reserve banking with easy money who want socialized health care? Or are you in the inflation threads arguing for limiting inflation to "Save the NHS".
> AND a reduction as a proportion of GDP.
Is that even true? Can you show some math? And who says health care costs have to keep up with GDP? Are we just supposed run faster in place like we are in a hamster wheel where every bit of increased production is just eaten up by rising costs?
> Meaningless.
Sorry, there is nothing else to say here but that if you are fine with frivolous spending in a funding crisis, as you see it, then you are just an idiot.
> No. You have invented that line of thinking
Completely dodging my point.