cVwEq
Joined 9 years ago
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Joined 9 years ago
[1] https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19
[2] https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594...
Both events are very rare. They make up only 1%-2% of all drownings, says pediatrician James Orlowski, MD, of Florida Hospital Tampa. [1]
[1] https://www.webmd.com/children/features/secondary-drowning-d...
[1] https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-invest-in-your-compan...
[2] https://www.forbes.com/sites/maggiemcgrath/2013/10/22/how-mu...
Given our underlying conditions, my rough calculations show a 6/1000 chance one of us is hospitalized, 0/1000 chance (rounded down) that both are hospitalized. Good news since we have kids.
Furthermore, a 1/1000 chance one of us is admitted to the ICU, and 0/1000 (rounded down) one or both of us dies.
Edit: Used a Monte Carlo simulation (n=10000) with a simple probability chain. Caveats and assumptions abound and YMMV, of course.