Recent submissions

Comment · 5 years ago
I have been a huge Tether skeptic for years. There is almost no chance they are a legitimate operation in my opinion. When they are shutdown BTC/USD will drop, BTC/USDT will go up and USDT/USD will drop.
Comment · 5 years ago
Author here. I'm happy to answer any questions.
Comment · 7 years ago
It depends who you ask. I think it's inevitable that it's released one day. By not releasing you're just delaying it.

All the top high stakes players already have solvers that they've spent a lot of money developing and studying privately. They would definitely be upset with you, but by releasing the code you are democratizing the information to all the midstakes pros who want to study but don't have the resources to pay developers and solve the game privately.

Comment · 7 years ago
Comment · 8 years ago
I think you're confusing value investing with looking at a simple Price/Book ratio. Value investing is much more than that. One method of fundamental analysis involves making a prediction about ~10 years earnings/cash flows and comparing that to the 10 year risk free rate (usually the US 10 year treasury).

The fundamental analysis models don't fall apart with tech companies, it's just much harder to project revenues for a new, volatile, growing business than an old mostly stagnant or slow growing company.

Comment · 8 years ago
Does the cost of a 51% attack rise linearly with time? Is this right? Cost of 24h attack == 24 * (Cost of 1h attack)
Comment · 8 years ago
Billions are already wagered offshore on all major sports. Making it illegal just makes it more difficult to protect the integrity of the game.
Comment · 8 years ago
Comment · 8 years ago
The stock market is not zero sum. The people taking the other side of well managed hedge funds are usually poorly managed pension funds/hedge funds, index fund ETFs that blindly buy a bunch of stocks without looking over their financial statements, or dumb public retail investor money.
Comment · 8 years ago
Buffett structured his bet in a very specific manner to maximize management fees of the other side. His bet was the S&P 500 vs any five funds of funds hedge funds. This is like betting the S&P 500 vs the average return of 20 hedge funds. Of course Buffett is going to be a favorite when the investments are diluted so much and you take into account all the fees on top of fees. I think he would be a dog vs a single hedge fund or five hedge funds.
Comment · 9 years ago
The fundamentals are at the current price of $17,000/btc bitcoin mining costs are about $14.5B annually(144 blocks of 12.5 btc/block plus ~3.8 btc/block in fees) in electricity expenses due to paying off miners which is about on par with the 8th largest company in the world Facebook. Bitcoin's revenue/year is however much money people feel like FOMOing in + however much tether money bitfinex feels like printing which right now is more than the mining costs. Once this figure changes, the price will decline. For reference, Facebook has ~$24B in revenue/year.

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