agomez314

I love his statement about trade-offs - there’s never an end all solution to things and we must be vigilant to what the tradeoffs are in the technologies we use. My belief is that our (including myself) instinct is to rush ahead with what’s shiny and new, monetize it and forget about the wake of destruction you’ve just left in your path. Looking at the results of social media, online shopping and AI makes me believe this is the case for them too. With the exception of say, 20% of its applications where it has made things genuinely “better” (there can be a whole different discussion what better means). It’s strange to me that this message about trade-offs is not discussed more often by engineers, who are trained to look at these as a habit. If this were true, it would be engineers who would be the first to assess what are the disadvantages of applying AI - either to the product or perhaps to society. Can we have a broader discussion about the things we lose out when we use AI in our cars? As our educators? As our girlfriends/boyfriends?

* drone tech will heat up and find its "moment."

* Bitcoin will continue to increase in price and decrease in usability.

* Quantum will continue to improve and start to raise eyebrows in niche circles and paper headlines, leading to adoption in small parts of major tech companies.

* Markets will hit a record high by end of year.

* ADHD medications will also hit a record high.

* More people will opt out social media like they opt of out of "GMO" food and use it to virtue-signal.

* Tech hiring will continue to decrease and get tougher to find entry-level SWE jobs, leading to an uptick in other majors. Being an SWE will never be as cool again as it was in the 2010s.

* Is anyone still talking about climate change action goals?

* Starship will go orbital, Blue origin will go suborbital, Boeing will hit the ground.

* More laws regulating internet and social media use. Enforcement will be fuzzy and laughable at first but will become increasingly serious over time.

Is this a hit piece or does it raise valid concerns?

I thought great engineers reduce the amount of new code in a codebase?

I think, for most people, knowing the right person or arriving at the right workplace at the right time is more important than most of the advice outlined in this doc. How many talented people have been put down by a bad boss? Or extremely hardworking, smart engineers that cannot find a job in today's market? Yes, learn fundamentals (learn them deeply!), do projects, but don't expect to have a successful career just because you did these. One may follow the other, but it is never guaranteed - focus instead on trying to live a good life and be kind to others.