Regardsyjc

I'm an Amazon consultant and I wasn't aware that super urls were black hat until recently. Even today, "gurus" or big Amazon software companies promote urls and launch services.

I think Amazon usually catches on and starts suspending sellers after 6 months to a year after an exploit is discovered but that is a really long time. Even then a lot of these issues are probably small beans compared to the major abuse I see on their platform from Chinese sellers. I can't imagine what kind of counterfeit problems they might have but they have been making changes so I'm sure they'll figure it out within the next year or two. Changes like more seller suspensions for manipulating sales rank, TOS updates, requiring photo ID for new sellers, vendor central updates, and more.

In the long run, it won't matter what third party sellers do because Amz will probably sell directly themselves the 20% of the catalog that makes 80% of their sales whether through their own secret private label brands or their vendor program.

Also want to add that Amazon's customer service/return policy is great and their marketplace makes comparison shopping and thus competition easy ensuring cheap pricing for their customers.

Does anyone know if the Japanese omen about oarfish have any weight? How concerned should we be about events like these?

This is crazy but Peter Thiel and Blake Masters' book Zero to One changed the way I thought about everything. Thiel's thoughts were so contrarian to everything I had learned or thought I knew that it literally changed my reality.

It was kind of like when I learned how to program - what I read in his book - gave me a new lens to interpret how or what I saw in the world. It created a crack that made me wonder what else I wasn't seeing or able to see.

There was a page in there about secrets in plain sight and it bothered me for years because I couldn't understand what he meant until I finally read Conspiracy by Ryan Holiday.

Have you read any of his other books? I loved his TED talks and few lectures that are up on YouTube.

I am too optimistic about humanity. I think there are billions of humans on Earth and not all are as stupid as some people might presume. In fact I would say if there's any humans that survive, it will probably be the 1% that many people hate. I think even then being in the USA easily increases your survival chances.

At the same time, I have absolutely no doubts what is to come. If this is the end of humanity then so be it. It would be irrational to feel bad because I can't do much to stop a disaster like that. I accepted last year that I will die, everyone I love will die, and even potentially all of humanity will die perhaps in my lifetime, and I have made my peace with it.

I have spent a significant amount of time reading all the ways the dominoes will fall and how people will die. People are dying right now.

Happiness comes from within, not from outside. What happens outside should not affect what you feel inside. That's the mindset I learned from stoicism and reading Victor Frankl. "The one thing you can’t take away from me is the way I choose to respond to what you do to me. The last of one’s freedoms is to choose one’s attitude in any given circumstance."

If you are too emotional and depressed, you will be unproductive/not be able to do much to help, and do you also want to spend the little time you have like that? I choose to enjoy the little life I have with the people I love but not in ignorance. I will do everything I can but I will not let it darken my life and my disposition. I hope that makes sense.

I used to feel this way and I found that it wasn't productive. What can you do? If you can do something, do it. If you think you can't change the future possible destruction of our ecosystem or millions of people, then you also need to make peace with it.

I think you can either do or not do things without the negativity. I found that the negativity made me think emotionally and not rationally or productively, and also sometimes came off in my conversations with people which was also not helpful-because I was clearly very emotional about the issue.

My thought process is whatever happens, happens. I can't do much to prevent whatever systemic collapse that might happen or not happen. But whatever I can do, I will. When I first learned about this, I thought it meant the future that I took for granted could be nonexistent - the dying happily carefree of systemic collapse part after having a family and growing old. It made me bitter and resentful. What's the point of doing anything if the world's going to go to shit by 2030? I decided to be more optimistic or maybe stoic. Make sure I can do what I can or all I can and not let some potential apocalyptic future darken my life. Sorry if this is a trash comment.

I've been selling on Amazon for the past few years and there is money still to be made. However the landscape is always changing whether the economy or Amazon's own internal plans so for how long, I'm unsure. It's a great place to easily and quickly find customers, build a brand, and launch a company though.

I helped turn a sinking Amazon small business around last year. They did a little over $2m revenue. One of our promotions became so viral that we had $2000+ in orders with less than $20 in ad spend within a few hours. In this sense, things are always changing but I don't think it has ever been this easy to start a business with so little.

Information changes quickly so you can burn a lot of money on outdated information or pure ignorance. For example, my $2m+ client would probably have failed or were on the verge of failing because they weren't able to adapt to Amazon's increased competition in the last year. They had no idea what keyword ranking was, how to identify keywords, drive traffic, or launch products because they never needed to in the past. Because things change so quickly it is very hard to find experts who maintain their expertise... However once you understand the fundamentals, learn how to surf, riding the Amazon waters gets a lot easier.

If you can learn quickly and adapt, Amazon is still a gold mine, some risk involved, but with great payouts.

Do you have any recommended books or resources by Taleb or another author on how to identify or avoid methodological flaws like p-hacking, understanding correlation vs causation, and more?

I'm currently taking a data science course on Udemy and learning about chi squares, regression, and decision trees, but I'd love more information on best practices especially for experimental design.

Could this explain why women may be considered more empathic or compassionate considering gender imbalances across societies?

I think the key question you're trying to ask here is what to do if you're having issues with a freelancer or vendor who aren't living up to your expectations. And in that situation what communication style works best.

I just let people go and try to terminate those types of relationships as soon as possible when I know it's not working. It's not worth it to focus on any communication style in my opinion. Sometimes you just have to cut losses quickly and professionally.

I try my best to learn from these situations and get a lot pickier about who I work with. If you're having lots of issues with people who aren't meeting your expectations I would check whether there's miscommunication or whether you need to increase your standards whether for freelancers or vendors. You should be picky with both the people you hire and your clients. I learned that the hard way. :(

Sorry if this was not helpful.