The peak and decline of US oil production is going to be one of the geopolitical stories of the next 25 years. If US renewables and nuclear don't fill the gap the need for global naval dominance is going to come knock knock knocking again. It looks very like there are three factors that are going to mean that reasserting dominace isn't just very hard:
- Missile tech has advanced and proliferated.
- US ship building is crippled, and expanding it (especially where needed) is going to be very difficult. Basically the US is going to need a lot of SSN and it won't be able to make them.
- There is a competitor power with sufficient resources to make it a real competition, and a very different conceptualisation of how the world should work.
- Missile tech has advanced and proliferated.
- US ship building is crippled, and expanding it (especially where needed) is going to be very difficult. Basically the US is going to need a lot of SSN and it won't be able to make them.
- There is a competitor power with sufficient resources to make it a real competition, and a very different conceptualisation of how the world should work.