I'm looking for predictive economic models out in the open. I want to see the underlying assumptions and experiment. I'm not even picky about the kind of model: it could be a relatively simple linear regression model, a systems dynamics model, a complex simulation, or anything in-between. I just want models to a focal point of discussion rather than some poorly-explained textual interpretation.
I know... I'm asking for too much... this is usually proprietary stuff, so people are reluctant to share. But I want to live in a world where sensible people can compare models of what might happen. We don't have to necessarily agree on the assumptions or results. But we could at least be open about why we predict various outcomes. That would be better foundation that how we do things now, which is really embarrassing for a world with our capabilities.
Eventually, I want to live in a world where we have sensible discussions about our predictions and about which outcomes are more and less favorable.
P.S. If you are building a product or startup doing this, let me know. Or let everyone know. I built a product in this general area many years ago, but I didn't find product-market fit. Anyhow, I just want modeling tools like this to exist; I don't care who makes them.
P.P.S. I'm very intentionally not bringing in my political philosophy nor level of personal concern here. To be open, I am personally affected, as are many of my friends, but I want to find some kind of common ground that doesn't make this about my particular take on the overall situation.
I know... I'm asking for too much... this is usually proprietary stuff, so people are reluctant to share. But I want to live in a world where sensible people can compare models of what might happen. We don't have to necessarily agree on the assumptions or results. But we could at least be open about why we predict various outcomes. That would be better foundation that how we do things now, which is really embarrassing for a world with our capabilities.
Eventually, I want to live in a world where we have sensible discussions about our predictions and about which outcomes are more and less favorable.
P.S. If you are building a product or startup doing this, let me know. Or let everyone know. I built a product in this general area many years ago, but I didn't find product-market fit. Anyhow, I just want modeling tools like this to exist; I don't care who makes them.
P.P.S. I'm very intentionally not bringing in my political philosophy nor level of personal concern here. To be open, I am personally affected, as are many of my friends, but I want to find some kind of common ground that doesn't make this about my particular take on the overall situation.