Anytime I hear someone even hypothesizing with a tin foil hat that some company has developed AGI today in 2023, I hear it the same way I hear someone speculating about UFOs. It's so absurd that all I can do is shake my head and look around the room hoping to make eye contact with someone sane who is wearing the same expression of raised eyebrows that I am.
I could write an essay on why the existence of AGI in 2023 is a comical prospect, but it just seems to be a given to me... It isn't worth the effort because if someone can't see that for themselves already, no amount of explanation from me is going to change their mind.
But in one sentence, try asking ChatGPT to reverse a string of 20+ digits, like 473936482738338373926. It can't do it. It's a super trivial task, but it can't do it. Because it doesn't really understand anything. It's just an incredibly advanced Markov chain. It isn't a mind. It can't reason. They are no closer to AGI than we were 10 years ago. Chatgpt's text generation capabilities have fooled people into thinking that OpenAI has made substantial progress on creating a reasoning consciousness. But it hasn't. It hasn't at all. And it's so easy to realize that if you interact with the thing.
I could write an essay on why the existence of AGI in 2023 is a comical prospect, but it just seems to be a given to me... It isn't worth the effort because if someone can't see that for themselves already, no amount of explanation from me is going to change their mind.
But in one sentence, try asking ChatGPT to reverse a string of 20+ digits, like 473936482738338373926. It can't do it. It's a super trivial task, but it can't do it. Because it doesn't really understand anything. It's just an incredibly advanced Markov chain. It isn't a mind. It can't reason. They are no closer to AGI than we were 10 years ago. Chatgpt's text generation capabilities have fooled people into thinking that OpenAI has made substantial progress on creating a reasoning consciousness. But it hasn't. It hasn't at all. And it's so easy to realize that if you interact with the thing.