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Comment by joe_the_user

Think of it slightly differently: Imagine you pick a door, and then the host, who has no idea what's behind the doors, also picks one. Then the remaining door opens and reveals that there's nothing behind it.

Yes, if the host were to pick a door, not tell you which it was or reveal anything else and then offer to switch your choice for their choice, there would be no difference in the odds of each choice. That just happens not to be the statement of the situation.

The statement of situation is: you pick a door. The host picks a door, other than what you picked, then opens the door and reveals there's nothing there. This excludes the situation of the host picking the prize or the host picking the same door as you. How that exclusion happened doesn't matter. At that point, you get to choose your original pick or switch to the remaining door. At that point, what the host knew before irrelevant. You had a 1/3 chance of picking the door with the prize before regardless of the host, and now you can make a choice that gives every other possibility and so a 2/3 chance of getting the prize.

Edit: I think that the problem is stated as "the host knows" because that means the host is guaranteed to open a door without the prize. It's not that the host's knowledge matters to the strategy, it's that host's knowledge makes it certain the situation will happen as described. See mtlogstdo's comment. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29846498

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