I’d genuinely like to hear about it if I’m off base, but I took one look at the 2nd tab named something like “When to Close The Office” and it appears to contain dozens and dozens of assumptions. I can’t imagine that this calculation is meaningful in any way. The errors don’t average out here; the curve we’re modeling is exponential, tiny errors in assumptions can lead to roughly 100% error in the output. Isn’t there a word for when a lot of math and complexity and specific numbers with names imbue an article with some extra sense of being true or having authority?
The virus is blooming right now. If a business intends to close or start a work-from-home phase, then it should be happening right now, there’s no calculation to make and no risk model that’s going to tell you to wait another week or two.
There are legitimate reasons some businesses shouldn’t close, but those reasons don’t depend on how many people live nearby, how many are currently infected, etc..
The virus is blooming right now. If a business intends to close or start a work-from-home phase, then it should be happening right now, there’s no calculation to make and no risk model that’s going to tell you to wait another week or two.
There are legitimate reasons some businesses shouldn’t close, but those reasons don’t depend on how many people live nearby, how many are currently infected, etc..