Yes, but the next AI Winter will be far less bleak and job-free as that of the 80's, IMO. The hayday of DL-based AI is likely to continue for 10+ Years, as we refine the methods and see how far word2vec and improved compositionality of the many existing DL methods takes us. AI is likely to improve rapidly for another decade, IMHO. But I agree that DL AI, if not augmented substantially, will stop well short of AGI and consciousness.
But 10 years is a long time in internet years. I would not be at all surprised if there's another word2vec (or two) arose before then to displace the tectonic plates yet again.
But 10 years is a long time in internet years. I would not be at all surprised if there's another word2vec (or two) arose before then to displace the tectonic plates yet again.