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Comment by ars

> Self driving tech is poised to save many many lives.

The computer would have to be 99.99999% reliable to do that.

The accident rate is around 74 per 100 million miles (and fatalities is 1.13).

It's unclear exactly how to turn that into a percentage, but no matter how you do it it's quite high.

Say an accident takes 5 minutes, and people drive 30 miles/hour. Then that works out to 99.999% for humans. If you use the numbers for fatalities then it's 99.99999%.

I.e. 99.99999% of the time, as whole across all [US] humans, people drive in a way that does not cause a fatality.

That's the bar computers have to cross in order to save any lives at all.

parent ars 10 years ago

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